Wyckoff and Fibonacci analysis of your provided BTC/USDT chart:
1. Wyckoff Analysis
Phase Identification:
Distribution Phase: BTC peaked around $109,700 in early 2025, followed by a sharp decline — likely the Distribution Phase, where smart money exited positions.
Markdown Phase: Price dropped steeply to around $74,500, signaling the Markdown Phase of the Wyckoff cycle.
Accumulation Phase: From mid-March to April, BTC consolidated between $75,000 – $87,000. Increasing volume during this range suggests a potential Accumulation Phase.
Markup Phase (current): BTC has now rallied to $97,000 – $98,000, approaching the key resistance at $100,800 – $102,600. This indicates the start of the Markup Phase.
2. Fibonacci Retracement & Extension
Retracement Levels (from $109,700 high to $74,500 low):
38.2%: ~$88,700
50.0%: ~$92,100
61.8%: ~$95,600
→ BTC has broken above 61.8%, a strong bullish signal suggesting momentum is building.
Extension Targets (if BTC breaks $100,800):
1.272: ~$105,000
1.618: ~$110,000 (previous top)
2.0: ~$115,000
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Conclusion
Wyckoff Perspective: One full cycle seems complete — Distribution → Markdown → Accumulation → Markup. BTC is now likely entering a new Markup Phase.
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Wyckoff and Fibonacci analysis of your provided BTC/USDT chart:
1. Wyckoff Analysis
Phase Identification:
Distribution Phase:
BTC peaked around $109,700 in early 2025, followed by a sharp decline — likely the Distribution Phase, where smart money exited positions.
Markdown Phase:
Price dropped steeply to around $74,500, signaling the Markdown Phase of the Wyckoff cycle.
Accumulation Phase:
From mid-March to April, BTC consolidated between $75,000 – $87,000. Increasing volume during this range suggests a potential Accumulation Phase.
Markup Phase (current):
BTC has now rallied to $97,000 – $98,000, approaching the key resistance at $100,800 – $102,600. This indicates the start of the Markup Phase.
2. Fibonacci Retracement & Extension
Retracement Levels (from $109,700 high to $74,500 low):
38.2%: ~$88,700
50.0%: ~$92,100
61.8%: ~$95,600
→ BTC has broken above 61.8%, a strong bullish signal suggesting momentum is building.
Extension Targets (if BTC breaks $100,800):
1.272: ~$105,000
1.618: ~$110,000 (previous top)
2.0: ~$115,000
---
Conclusion
Wyckoff Perspective: One full cycle seems complete — Distribution → Markdown → Accumulation → Markup. BTC is now likely entering a new Markup Phase.
Fibonacci Perspective: If price holds above $95,600 and breaks $100,800, the next bullish targets are $105K, $110K, and possibly $115K
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