#ETH巨鲸增持 Back in 2015, when Bitcoin dropped below $200, I emptied my bank account and dove in. At the time, I even had to Google what the colors on the candlestick chart meant, but my mentor’s words were etched in my mind: “This market specializes in punishing the overconfident. Forget about striking it rich for now—if you can survive, you’ve already won.”

After getting battered and bruised over the years, I’ve summed up a few ironclad survival rules:

Flash crashes are traps; slow declines are gold mines.

After a surge, if there’s a long, slow drop—like boiling a frog—most people can’t hold on. But I happened to scoop up bargains when the DeFi bubble burst in 2020—UNI slid from $8 all the way to $2.5, and I bought in three batches. Later, I sold at $40.

On the other hand, those coins that double in a day with massive volume? Get out immediately. That’s a telltale sign the whales are cashing out.

When trading volumes shrink, the bull market is on a countdown.

The real top isn’t when everyone’s shouting “to the moon.” It’s when newbies start showing off profit screenshots on social media, but on-chain data keeps dropping for a whole week.

Take Dogecoin in 2021—the hype on Twitter was insane, but I kept an eye on on-chain transaction volume—it dropped for seven straight days. I sold everything three days before the price got cut in half.

Bottom-fishing isn’t guessing—it’s grinding.

A sudden 30% pump in a bear market? Usually a bull trap. Real bottoms often come after more than two weeks of flat, low-volume trading, when the market seems dead.

In 2018, Bitcoin traded sideways around $3,200 for two months. I put in $100 every day, and after half a year my average cost was under $4,000. When it started climbing, these positions were the sweetest.

Don’t always try to be the one who sees through everything.

I used to be obsessed with technical indicators, memorizing every formula. Later, I realized candlesticks are just reflections of market sentiment. What whales really fear are two types of people: those who dare to buy the dip during a crash, and those who are willing to sell in batches during a pump.

Last year, $SOL flash crashed from $260 to $80. I added to my position every 20% drop, and sold in three batches when it rebounded to $150. The profits were way better than those who held all the way to the bottom.

Now I have an apartment by the West Lake, but my computer is still a $300 DIY rig—not because I’m pretending to be poor, but because this game demands the cool-headedness of an outsider.

The most paradoxical thing about crypto is: when you think you’ve figured it all out, you’re usually close to getting liquidated; when you admit you don’t understand, that’s when you start to get it.

I used to grope in the dark; now I’ve got a lamp in my hand.

The light’s on—are you coming? $BTC $ETH