Looks like Trump's getting his wish – a Fed chair ready to slash rates aggressively. But here's the kicker: even with rate cuts coming, don't expect mortgages or other long-term borrowing costs to drop anytime soon.
Why? Strong economic fundamentals. When the economy keeps humming along, long-term rates stay stubborn. The bond market's betting on sustained growth, which keeps yields elevated regardless of what the Fed does with short-term rates.
For those watching macro implications on risk assets – this disconnect between policy rates and long-term yields creates an interesting dynamic. Cheaper short-term money, but no relief on the long end. Classic yield curve situation that traders should keep on their radar.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
18 Likes
Reward
18
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
BearMarketGardener
· 5h ago
Rate cut expectations are high, but mortgage loans are still extremely expensive—the economic fundamentals are just too strong.
View OriginalReply0
StablecoinSkeptic
· 12-04 14:05
Same old story: they talk about rate cuts, but mortgage rates still refuse to budge. It’s hilarious.
View OriginalReply0
ForkThisDAO
· 12-03 17:54
Short-term rate cuts feel good, but long-term loans are still expensive. That's the real truth.
View OriginalReply0
DiamondHands
· 12-03 17:53
Even though interest rates have been cut, mortgages are still expensive. Unbelievable.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketBard
· 12-03 17:44
Rate cuts have arrived, but mortgages are still expensive. This disconnect is really something...
View OriginalReply0
FloorSweeper
· 12-03 17:37
nah this is exactly the trap paper hands fall into lmao. thinking fed cuts = everything goes down. nope. bond market's already priced in the real story, and that story's growth, not desperation. short end gets juiced while long end stays elevated? that's literally the setup for counter-trades to print. most people gonna get faked out hard on this one fr.
Looks like Trump's getting his wish – a Fed chair ready to slash rates aggressively. But here's the kicker: even with rate cuts coming, don't expect mortgages or other long-term borrowing costs to drop anytime soon.
Why? Strong economic fundamentals. When the economy keeps humming along, long-term rates stay stubborn. The bond market's betting on sustained growth, which keeps yields elevated regardless of what the Fed does with short-term rates.
For those watching macro implications on risk assets – this disconnect between policy rates and long-term yields creates an interesting dynamic. Cheaper short-term money, but no relief on the long end. Classic yield curve situation that traders should keep on their radar.