#DecemberMarketOutlook

Bitcoin is entering a sensitive market phase where momentum is fading, and the bullish trend that dominated recent weeks is beginning to lose its strength. After a powerful upward rally, price action is showing clear signs of fatigue. BTC’s inability to maintain levels above its recent highs reflects a market shifting from confidence to caution. The structure is not yet bearish, but the loss of acceleration suggests that a corrective wave may be preparing to unfold beneath the surface.

Market Structure: A Shift in Control
BTC recently reached the $94,189 zone but failed to extend its breakout. Instead, the market met immediate selling pressure, pulling the price back toward $92,303 and establishing lower short-term lows. This pattern is often seen when bullish momentum starts to weaken, indicating that buyers are no longer in full control of the trend. While this is not a complete reversal, the price action represents a cooling phase that frequently precedes deeper pullbacks.

Key Level to Watch: $90,900
This level has emerged as the decisive area where market direction will be determined.
If buyers hold this support, BTC can stabilize and maintain structure within its current range.
However, if this level breaks, a sequence of lower targets becomes increasingly likely:
$90,140, aligning with the Bollinger Middle Band
$87,000, a major demand zone packed with liquidity
$84,073, lining up with the lower Bollinger Band
Historically, a daily close below the mid-band often triggers rapid volatility expansion, usually in the direction of the breakdown.

Technical Indicators Signal Weakening Force
Multiple indicators confirm that BTC is losing traction.
The MACD histogram remains firmly negative, with both lines trending below zero, showing that bearish pressure is gradually strengthening.
RSI (6), currently neutral at 57, has turned downward, reflecting a reduction in trend strength.
Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands show price drifting toward the mid-line, a classic sign that volatility is compressing and preparing for a larger move.

Volume Analysis: Lack of Conviction From Buyers
Trading volume has dropped to 9.92K, falling below the 5-day average of 12.68K. This decline reveals hesitation among buyers and offers space for sellers to exert influence. Weak volume during consolidation often precedes a directional shift, and when momentum is already slowing, the odds of a downward break increase significantly.

Two Possible Scenarios Ahead

1. Bullish Continuation (Still Achievable, But Requires Strength)
For BTC to regain momentum, it must defend the $90.9K support and then break through $94.2K with strong, sustained volume. Successful confirmation of this breakout could open the path toward $96K to $98K. Without a significant increase in volume, however, any upward attempt is likely to fail.

2. Bearish Correction (Currently Gaining Probability)
A break below both $90,900 and the critical $90,140 mid-band would likely accelerate a broader correction. In this scenario, downside targets at $87,000 and $84,000 become realistic due to the strong liquidity and historical demand found in that region.

Overall Outlook: BTC Has Entered a Decision Zone
The market is transitioning from strong impulsive movement to a reactive phase where every candle becomes meaningful. Bitcoin is not signaling a bearish reversal, but it is showing vulnerability as buying strength weakens. The next decisive move will depend heavily on whether support at $90,900 holds, whether resistance at $94,200 breaks, and whether volume finally expands enough to support a true trend continuation.

Trade with discipline. This analysis reflects market structure, not financial advice.

$BTC