#美联储重启降息步伐 Wednesday this week, the market faces a rare confluence of multiple pressures, with almost every sector holding its breath.



Japan has just experienced a magnitude 7.6 earthquake, which not only tore apart its disaster prevention system but also disrupted the central bank’s policy rhythm. The yen depreciated in response, and the Bank of Japan’s planned rate hike is now almost certain to be postponed—this is the first major variable in months. Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the Federal Reserve is also preparing to act. A rate cut in December is basically a foregone conclusion (with an 87% chance priced in by the market), but Powell’s wording at the press conference will determine the direction of subsequent policies: Will the dot plot suggest “only this one time”? How deep are the internal disagreements about the economic outlook? These details often spark market volatility.

Global central banks are in a delicate wait-and-see period, and US stocks and the bond market have already started to react in advance—large funds are gradually reducing risk exposure under the cloud of uncertainty. This time, it’s not just a simple rate decision, but a complex collision of natural disasters, policy expectations, and global dynamics. The real market action might only just be starting after the “good news” is priced in.

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ApyWhisperervip
· 1h ago
The Japan earthquake has left the central bank at a loss, and this wave is indeed chaotic. The Federal Reserve's 87% probability of interest rate cuts feels like a psychological comfort to the market, but no one can say for sure how it will actually be implemented. Are large funds starting to buy the dip or cutting positions? That's the key.
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ClassicDumpstervip
· 13h ago
Japan earthquake + Federal Reserve rate cut, this wave is indeed a black swan colliding with policy, big funds are all fleeing, who dares to take over... What's the use of an 87% probability, it mainly depends on what Powell says, one sentence can determine life or death.
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AltcoinTherapistvip
· 12-09 09:38
This earthquake in Japan really disrupted everything; central bank policies are all in chaos now. Let's wait and see what Powell says—it all comes down to just a single statement from him.
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MeaninglessApevip
· 12-09 09:29
This wave of the Japan earthquake seems like a good entry point. The market is completely spooked.
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PositionPhobiavip
· 12-09 09:16
The earthquake in Japan has completely disrupted the central bank's plans, and the Federal Reserve is also preparing a major move. It's like black swans are everywhere... An 87% probability of a rate cut seems solid, but Powell could overturn everything with just one statement. Holding onto risk assets at a time like this truly takes courage.
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SmartMoneyWalletvip
· 12-09 09:15
What does an 87% pricing probability mean? It means the whales have already been accumulating chips on-chain, while retail investors are still waiting for the good news to be realized.
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