Recently, I found something interesting while exploring the prediction market. I’ve been watching the sports sector for a few days and discovered a pattern: events with odds above 80¢ are basically stable. The logic behind this is that market pricing has become quite rational; high odds themselves indicate that participants generally favor this outcome.

But here’s the important point—there are no absolutes. Every trade carries risk, and the difference between 0 and 1 often comes down to a small detail. So, the real way to make money is not to aim for winning every single bet, but to construct a positive expected value by selecting high-probability events, and then strictly control the size of each position. Using certainty to hedge against uncertainty is the key to surviving longer in the prediction market.