Short-term trading is similar to trend trading; the core is still waiting for the right opportunity. Waiting for what? Waiting for an opportunity that you can hold onto and see clearly. As for how to judge certainty and how to react quickly, that depends on each trader's own understanding.



Recently, BTC has been oscillating very frequently on the hourly level, going up and down, making the pattern unstable. Being slightly greedy can easily lead to losses. Later, I changed the time cycle to 10 minutes and found that I could better capture these sudden movements.

My approach is as follows: based on the previous day's K-line trend, I derive a reference line (the purple line in the chart). In a ranging market, when the price deviates too far from this line, it tends to revert. So the logic is simple—above the purple line is bearish, below the purple line is bullish.

But this is just the general direction; actual entry also requires an additional confirmation: the momentum indicator below must be in sync. When a bearish divergence appears along with overbought conditions, that is the signal to short. When the opposite bullish divergence appears and the oversold zone is confirmed, close the position immediately.

This method has helped me catch several waves in the past few weeks. But don’t expect opportunities every day; if that were the case, it wouldn’t be trading, it would be gambling. The real test is how to maintain patience and rationality when the market is calm—this skill takes time to develop.

After completing this wave, there really wasn’t much action over the weekend.
BTC0,62%
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TokenEconomistvip
· 14h ago
actually, let me break this down—the reference line method sounds like you're essentially applying mean reversion logic, which is just econ 101 wrapped in ta language. ceteris paribus, if price deviates too far from equilibrium, it gravitates back... but here's the thing, that only works when vol stays contained. once you hit regime change, that purple line becomes a graveyard lmao
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TheMemefathervip
· 14h ago
Damn, trying to catch the bottom and top on the 10-minute chart is so intense... I still prefer looking at the 4-hour chart; it helps me sleep better.
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AllInAlicevip
· 14h ago
The 10-minute level indeed makes it easier to catch the moment to seize the opportunity and take risks.
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CryptoCross-TalkClubvip
· 14h ago
Laughing out loud, it's another story of "I discovered the secret of the purple line." A new book is coming out next week.
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Blockblindvip
· 14h ago
Grabbing oscillations on a 10-minute level, I get this idea now. The key is to be able to hold back.
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