The key point still needs to be locked at the 3936 level.



The Shanghai Composite has been rising for eight consecutive days, reaching a high of 3977, close to the 4000 integer mark. Although there was a slight pullback on Friday, the overall technical pattern remains intact, with the core support still at 3936. As long as this level is maintained, the upward trend along the 5-day moving average can continue; if it breaks below, a switch to a consolidation mode is necessary. At that time, as long as the price stays above the 10/20-day moving averages for sideways consolidation, it may extend the time cycle, but each dip should be seen as a good entry opportunity.

On the sector level, commercial aerospace stocks are appearing in turn, but it’s important to note that short-term divergence is highly probable. The clearest signal is that the bullish candlestick bodies on the daily chart are gradually shrinking, indicating that the upward momentum is weakening. However, the trend framework is not broken; it just needs time to digest. Using the 5-day moving average as a reference is sufficient—if it doesn’t break, the trend continues. The real opportunities are not in the main index but in discovering individual stocks within sectors, especially those that experience high-volume pullbacks at high levels and then volume expansion.

The large consumer sector still warrants ongoing attention. Recent policy signals suggest that next year’s fiscal policy will actively boost consumption, and there will be continued investment to support old-for-new replacement projects for consumer goods, with scope and standards for subsidies also being optimized and adjusted. Taking retail as a sub-sector, the overall trend remains strong, but during pullbacks, it’s important to have insight. Stocks with high volume at the bottom and then decreasing volume during the pullback are worth following, while those that have surged to high levels and are leaders should not be chased.

Regarding trading strategies, gap trading, trial line, and pattern breakout methods are especially effective during hot market conditions. For example, with gap trading, the logic is quite simple. Breakaway gaps generally are not filled in the short term, so when the price retraces to the gap level, as long as it stabilizes, there’s a chance for a move upward afterward; conversely, if it fails to hold and the gap gets filled, it indicates that the previous strength is weakening. At this point, switching from an offensive to a defensive stance is the wise choice.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
LiquidationSurvivorvip
· 12h ago
As long as 3936 isn't broken, keep playing; once it's broken, you have to pull back. This logic makes sense.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-a180694bvip
· 12h ago
If you can't hold 3936, you'll have to switch to defense. Don't say I didn't warn you then.
View OriginalReply0
RektRecordervip
· 12h ago
3936 is really a critical threshold; once broken, the strategy must be changed.
View OriginalReply0
CryptoFortuneTellervip
· 12h ago
If you can't hold 3936, you have to accept your fate. There's nothing more to say.
View OriginalReply0
TrustlessMaximalistvip
· 12h ago
If we can't hold 3936, we just have to admit defeat; there's nothing more to say.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)