In the crypto market, many people always ask: Can following big V traders guarantee profits? In fact, traders who can survive long in the crypto space never rely on a one or two winning trades, but instead have a "probability" string in their minds.



The market itself does not have a myth of guaranteed profits. No matter how beautiful the technical patterns are or how rigorous the logic, it’s only "high probability of rising," not a certainty to go up. Price movements won't follow a set pattern just because you analyze them carefully—the volatility will come when it’s supposed to.

What is the biggest difference between retail traders and veterans? It’s not analysis ability, but long-term behavioral habits. Some always make decisions based on "long-term advantage," while others are led by each trade’s profit or loss—getting euphoric when they profit, panicking when they lose. This difference widens over time.

The true trading logic is actually very simple, consisting of three main principles:

**First, the strategy must have a positive expectation.** As long as you are profitable in the long run, there’s no need to overcomplicate things.

**Second, the trading frequency must be sufficient.** Don’t let one or two wins or losses disrupt your rhythm; only then can you see the true face of probability.

**Third, always prioritize risk management.** Living in the market gives you opportunities, but one catastrophic loss can end everything.

The hardest part is never the technical indicators, but those few words: accepting normal losses, sticking to your plan amid chaos, and holding on to rules when things don’t go your way. Masters often appear very ordinary—they don’t chase highs or kill lows, spend most of their time waiting for signals, and are solely focused on the probability advantage itself.

Trading is a long-term patience test. Those who can stay calm amid uncertainty will eventually find that time is on their side.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
StableGeniusvip
· 9h ago
nah the "follow the whale" cope is real, empirically speaking most retail just chase yesterday's winners anyway. what actually separates the survivors? honestly it's just... not being a degenerate about position sizing. that's literally it. boring as hell but mathematically proof is in the pudding
Reply0
RealYieldWizardvip
· 9h ago
Honestly, following big influencers is just gambling on luck; it's better to learn how to control your own risk. Understanding probability takes insight; it's not something you grasp after making a couple of profits. --- The phrase "Losses are normalized" hits hard. Most people simply can't do it—they want to go all-in when they make money, and they want to turn things around when they lose. --- Looking good on the technical charts is useless; the biggest bottleneck is mindset, and I have deep personal experience with this. --- The key to longevity is discipline. Don't chase or kill; it's boring but effective. Beginners hate this the most. --- The phrase "Risk first" should be drilled into your mind. One margin call and everything is gone; no matter how much analysis you do, it's useless. --- Positive expectancy, high frequency, low risk—these seem simple but are actually very difficult. Execution is everything in trading. --- Waiting for signals tests human nature the most. It's the hardest when you're idle, but that's the difference between a master and a gambler.
View OriginalReply0
notSatoshi1971vip
· 9h ago
Relying on copying trades to get rich? Dream on, it's better to honestly learn about probability. It sounds good, but most people just can't shake the habit of wanting to run after making a single profit. Long-term profitability sounds simple, but executing it is extremely difficult and tests your mentality. Probability, patience, stop-loss... it all seems to come down to these things. Why do so many people still blow up their accounts? Not chasing the rise and not cutting losses sounds easy, but truly doing it, you can count on one hand. The market is like this; it takes out those who can't manage risk in one wave, and it’s painful to watch. Positive expectancy sounds impressive, but it’s really just about making more profit than loss — it’s not that complicated.
View OriginalReply0
MoonRocketmanvip
· 9h ago
That's right, the probability string must be kept taut at all times, or you'll be taught a lesson by the market in minutes. The escape velocity calculation is incorrect; no matter how beautiful the candlestick is, it's just an illusion. The key is how long you can survive. The real launch window isn't in technical indicators but in whether you can endure those damn normal losses.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityWizardvip
· 9h ago
Honestly, following big V influencers and expecting to make a profit will only get you educated once. No matter how much you talk about probabilities, in the end, you still have to rely on your own understanding. Mindset is the real killer. If you make money, you might be careless; if you lose, you'll collapse. How long can such a trading career last? Risk management is a hundred times more important than candlestick charts. One margin call and you're out, with no chance to turn things around. All those technical analyses are actually虚, the real test is whether you can endure loneliness and wait for signals. Once the frequency is enough, probabilities will naturally show. Retail traders love to change strategies after one or two wins or losses, and they deserve to be taught a lesson by the market.
View OriginalReply0
RugPullSurvivorvip
· 9h ago
Honestly, those who follow big influencers expecting to get rich passively should wake up; probability really can't be distinguished easily. I totally agree that loss is the norm. Just this point alone can filter out those who truly last long. Mindset is really the last fortress; technical skills are actually secondary. Only with enough frequency can you see whether the probability is a scam or real—that's the key point. Is it really that hard not to chase and not to kill? I always want to buy the dip; damn gambler's mentality. Risk always comes first, but no one really follows through, including myself haha. It's easy to say but hard to do; everyone says they can persist in chaos, but only a few can actually do it.
View OriginalReply0
ContractSurrendervip
· 9h ago
That's right, following big influencers is just taking shortcuts, but in the end, you still have to rely on yourself to endure. When you make money, you get cocky; when you lose, you panic. This was my real experience last year. Looking back, I was so inexperienced. Probability really requires a bunch of trades to see clearly, unlike technical indicators that can be easily deceiving. The phrase "Risk first" hits hard. How many people have completely quit after a single margin call? The most difficult thing to learn from experts is their simplicity, especially the word "wait." Only those who can wait out will survive longer.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)