2025-12-28 12:23:02

The airdrop probability for the Lighter project this year has dropped from the prediction market to 87%, and this change is intriguing. Data fluctuations themselves are understandable, but if there is information asymmetry behind it—meaning some people have gained early access to project progress—then the credibility of the prediction market comes into question. At that point, the enthusiasm for participation in the entire ecosystem could significantly decline. As always, transparency determines fairness.

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RektRecorder

· 15h ago

87% still dropping? How many insiders would it take to crash it down?

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DegenDreamer

· 15h ago

87% still dropping? That's just outrageous; someone must have known the inside information in advance.

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quietly_staking

· 15h ago

87% this number is a bit suspicious... some people must have known the inside information in advance Insiders are the biggest cancer in prediction markets, to put it bluntly, it's unfair If Lighter really has a problem this time, no one will trust the subsequent projects Isn't this just creating FUD, first smashing confidence and then picking up chips Transparency? In Web3, there's no such thing, brother Feels like someone will take this wave to harvest some naive investors

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NervousFingers

· 16h ago

87% can it still fall? Someone must know something in advance. Information asymmetry is like this; it's always a minority making money while the majority take the fall. Lighter is feeling more and more suspicious. If the prediction market is truly opaque, then what's the point of playing? Another information black hole—whoever eats the meat first gets the broth.

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BuyTheTop

· 16h ago

87% still dropping? Feels like someone knows something in advance.

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LeverageAddict

· 16h ago

87% still can fall, which means some people definitely know something in advance Information asymmetry has always existed in crypto. The funny thing is, some people still believe in prediction markets Transparency and fairness, we've been saying it for three years—does it help? I'm no longer interested in projects like Lighter anyway, onto the next one Prediction markets are just information games; only those who lose ask why

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PonziWhisperer

· 16h ago

87% drop, someone definitely exploited the information gap, this is outrageous

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