Looking at the recent market conditions, liquidity has dropped to nearly historical lows, even more extreme than at the end of the 2022 bear market. Rough estimates suggest that only about 10%-15% of the total network funds are actively participating in liquidity, with the rest mostly air positions and various leverage positions engaging in self-destruction.
The performance of altcoins in the secondary market is the most exaggerated—any pull can easily push them up by 50%-200%, only to be slammed down with a direct cut in half or more, creating a rollercoaster in a true liquidity vacuum. Retail investors reacting a bit too late often become the bagholders.
The derivatives market is even more absurd, with 24-hour liquidation volumes easily surpassing one billion dollars, both long and short positions being harvested, forming a "perpetual motion" cycle. Behind this extreme volatility reflects a structural imbalance among market participants.
Regarding new coin launches, a standard script has already formed: opening with 20-50x gains, retail investors rushing in, VCs, institutions, and market makers dumping at precise moments, then pulling another wave to give last-minute bagholders some hope before repeating the cycle. Major exchanges' spot and derivatives new coins are basically caught in this routine.
The MEME coin ecosystem is even more brutal. Except for a few varieties controlled by top whales (platforms, KOLs, group admins, large holders often being the same group), 99.9% of MEME coins are doomed to be "short-lived" from birth. No matter how good the narrative or how active the community, without a whale to take over, the only ending is a sharp decline after a rise—what goes up must come down. Retail investors turn into a zero-sum PVP game, where the last bagholder is often the one shouting the loudest, and the more aggressively they shout, the more ruthlessly they cut.
Ultimately, this market is no longer about investment but naked zero-sum slaughter. In the final stages of liquidity exhaustion, the only survival logic is to be colder, react faster, and act more ruthlessly than others.
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GasFeeCrier
· 18h ago
Ah, that hits too close to home, almost naming the exact time I took over.
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Why does it feel like playing with coins now is just like gambling in a casino, the house has already written the rules on the wall.
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I've seen this routine too many times, yet some still rush in one after another, really mind-blowing.
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There's no fault in explaining the liquidity exhaustion, but on the other hand, those who act quickly at this time are indeed making money.
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The statistic that 99.9% of MEME coins have a short lifespan, I suspect it still overestimates the survival rate.
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Those still calling signals now are basically looking for someone to take over, unbelievable.
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Rather than calling it investing, it's more like playing psychological warfare—whoever has a darker mind wins.
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Contract liquidation exceeding one hundred million, just another ordinary day, I'm speechless.
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TheMemefather
· 18h ago
Liquidity bottom? Laughing out loud, it's about time to recognize that now is the carnival for the whales and the hell for retail investors.
Fuck, this trick has been played for three years and people are still rushing in, it's truly incredible.
When the new coin opened 20x, it was time to run; now I realize it's too late.
The 99.9% outcome of MEME coins was sealed long ago, but retail investors are still in self-deception.
To put it simply, it's PVP—who reacts faster survives, everything else is bullshit.
View OriginalReply0
GasGuzzler
· 18h ago
Damn, this is exactly what I've been saying. Retail investors are still shouting about value investing. It's about time they wake up.
It reminds me of the last time I got caught by MEME coins. The community was on fire, but in the end, I couldn't escape that trap. It's hilarious.
With such poor liquidity, contract liquidations can reach over a billion, which shows how many people are playing with fire. It's crazy.
Wait, does this mean that entering the market now is just giving away money? I need to be more cautious.
Honestly, reacting one second too late means you're just a bag holder. The market has long since become degenerate.
View OriginalReply0
WenMoon42
· 18h ago
Really, this market is just a big casino now, retail investors have no chance.
99.9% of the coins are just harvesters for retail investors, no need to say more.
Liquidity has dried up, who still wants to play this?
I heard someone’s contract got liquidated again, hilarious.
Those calling signals, they already ran away long ago.
View OriginalReply0
CrossChainBreather
· 18h ago
Oh wow, this is really a living hell mode now.
I knew it would turn out like this long ago. Those who should have left early already did, and those still inside are all gamblers.
A contract liquidation of one hundred million? Small scale, next week will continue to hit new highs.
I advise you not to touch MEME coins, there's a 99.9% chance you'll lose everything, and the remaining 0.1% is just a feast for the whales.
I've seen through that new coin scheme long ago. A surge at opening is a signal, retail investors entering is just giving away money.
To put it simply, it's a zero-sum game. The fast ones profit, the slow ones can only eat dust.
Right now, there's really only one way to play the market: be cold-blooded, be ruthless, don't be brainwashed by narratives.
Lately, the liquidity drought has been really uncomfortable to watch. It's better to wait patiently for the next cycle.
Looking at the recent market conditions, liquidity has dropped to nearly historical lows, even more extreme than at the end of the 2022 bear market. Rough estimates suggest that only about 10%-15% of the total network funds are actively participating in liquidity, with the rest mostly air positions and various leverage positions engaging in self-destruction.
The performance of altcoins in the secondary market is the most exaggerated—any pull can easily push them up by 50%-200%, only to be slammed down with a direct cut in half or more, creating a rollercoaster in a true liquidity vacuum. Retail investors reacting a bit too late often become the bagholders.
The derivatives market is even more absurd, with 24-hour liquidation volumes easily surpassing one billion dollars, both long and short positions being harvested, forming a "perpetual motion" cycle. Behind this extreme volatility reflects a structural imbalance among market participants.
Regarding new coin launches, a standard script has already formed: opening with 20-50x gains, retail investors rushing in, VCs, institutions, and market makers dumping at precise moments, then pulling another wave to give last-minute bagholders some hope before repeating the cycle. Major exchanges' spot and derivatives new coins are basically caught in this routine.
The MEME coin ecosystem is even more brutal. Except for a few varieties controlled by top whales (platforms, KOLs, group admins, large holders often being the same group), 99.9% of MEME coins are doomed to be "short-lived" from birth. No matter how good the narrative or how active the community, without a whale to take over, the only ending is a sharp decline after a rise—what goes up must come down. Retail investors turn into a zero-sum PVP game, where the last bagholder is often the one shouting the loudest, and the more aggressively they shout, the more ruthlessly they cut.
Ultimately, this market is no longer about investment but naked zero-sum slaughter. In the final stages of liquidity exhaustion, the only survival logic is to be colder, react faster, and act more ruthlessly than others.