Lighter TGE becomes a market indicator: Can the initial 25% token release support bullish market confidence?

2025-12-28 14:00:10

Abstract generation in progress

【Blockchain Rhythm】On December 28th, a senior trader shared an interesting perspective from Wintermute: the token generation event (TGE) of Lighter may become a key indicator of the current market risk appetite. The logic behind this is quite straightforward—just observe how the market digests the initial 25% token supply released. How this step is handled can almost determine whether the overall market is strong or weak. In other words, Lighter’s performance this time may reflect the true attitude of market participants more than many people expect. Whether to remain optimistic or start to be cautious will all be reflected in this TGE.

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MoonMathMagic

· 7h ago

A 25% drop reveals whether the market has enough confidence; in other words, it depends on whether this wave can be caught.

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Liquidated_Larry

· 10h ago

25% or not? This is the real "truth-seeing mirror." Let's see who dares to take the plunge.

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LiquidityNinja

· 10h ago

I only believe it if a 25% drop happens instantly; otherwise, it's all talk.

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blocksnark

· 11h ago

25% release volume determines market strength? That logic is a bit absolute. --- If Lighter's TGE this time dumps, we should be alert. --- Basically, it's about whether anyone dares to take the buy-in, simple and straightforward. --- Risk appetite indicator... sounds impressive, but it's really just about whether retail investors still have the courage. --- Let's wait and see how Lighter drops haha. --- If this release can hold up, it's a bullish signal; if it crashes, we'll continue bearish. --- Wintermute's predictions are not necessarily accurate, don't take them too seriously. --- Really? 25% can reflect the entire market attitude? I think it also depends on the subsequent release volume. --- In my opinion, the key is how institutions move; retail investors taking the buy-in has never been the main role. --- Isn't this just about the market sentiment... When the mood is good, it rises; when the mood is bad, it falls.

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RektButStillHere

· 11h ago

A 25% drop and crashing this thing would be considered a bull market.

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