【CryptoWorld】CryptoQuant analysts recently pointed out an interesting phenomenon. When the market forms a highly consensus view, it often moves in the opposite direction—that is, the majority’s judgment is often wrong.
This situation has occurred multiple times in history. For example, during the period from July to October 2024, and also from February to April 2025, the market experienced similar extreme consensus. Whenever this happens, it tends to trigger a significant trend reversal. Especially during longer bear market cycles, these phases tend to last even longer.
We are only beginning to enter such a phase starting from early November. So there’s no need to rush into bottom fishing or heavy positions. But the problem is, if we only turn bearish now, it might be a bit late—because the best window for contrarian action has already been missed.
It is worth noting that although current market indicators are still generally bullish, maintaining sufficient caution and patience in a bear market environment remains the top priority. Blindly following the consensus often marks the beginning of losses.
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SoliditySlayer
· 57m ago
Consensus, the more uniform and synchronized it is, the more dangerous it becomes. This time, we really need to go against the trend.
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TooScaredToSell
· 9h ago
Is it too late to be bearish? Then what about bullish, even later haha
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LonelyAnchorman
· 9h ago
Well... I'm already tired of the reverse market theory. Every time they say to think in reverse, but in the end, we still lose together.
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unrekt.eth
· 9h ago
Too much consensus can actually lead to a crash; this wave definitely feels a bit risky.
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ruggedNotShrugged
· 9h ago
All the bears are now trapped, and now going long again might lead to liquidation. This is crypto.
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Layer2Observer
· 9h ago
The more consensus there is, the higher the probability of a reversal. I've seen this logic too many times, but the key is how to define "highly consistent" in the data.
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SerumDegen
· 9h ago
nah here's the thing... when *everyone* agrees the market's gonna dump, that's when the liquidation cascade hits different. seen this play out like 3 times already, each time more rekt than the last lmao
Market consensus reversal signal: Why it might be too late to be bearish now
【CryptoWorld】CryptoQuant analysts recently pointed out an interesting phenomenon. When the market forms a highly consensus view, it often moves in the opposite direction—that is, the majority’s judgment is often wrong.
This situation has occurred multiple times in history. For example, during the period from July to October 2024, and also from February to April 2025, the market experienced similar extreme consensus. Whenever this happens, it tends to trigger a significant trend reversal. Especially during longer bear market cycles, these phases tend to last even longer.
We are only beginning to enter such a phase starting from early November. So there’s no need to rush into bottom fishing or heavy positions. But the problem is, if we only turn bearish now, it might be a bit late—because the best window for contrarian action has already been missed.
It is worth noting that although current market indicators are still generally bullish, maintaining sufficient caution and patience in a bear market environment remains the top priority. Blindly following the consensus often marks the beginning of losses.