The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have undergone a significant shift. Will they really take action in March?
Data speaks—January's interest rate decision is almost a certainty, with a probability stable at 82.3%, leaving little room for change. But March is a different story. The probability distribution shows an interesting tug-of-war: the chance of a rate cut has broken through the 50% mark for the first time, reaching 53.3%, while the chance of holding steady is 46.7%.💥
It seems market sentiment is indeed shifting, but don't rush to conclusions—both sides' data are so close that the outcome is still uncertain. Over the next two months, every inflation report and employment figure could instantly change the entire outlook, reflecting the current market reality.
Stay closely tuned to these key indicators: • Fresh data on US CPI and PCE • Monthly updates on Non-Farm Payrolls
Any one of these data points could trigger a market explosion. The countdown to a potential rate cut in March has begun, and volatility in crypto assets will likely increase accordingly. Get ready. ⚠️
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DeFiVeteran
· 7h ago
53.3% vs 46.7%, this gap is just too exciting, feels like flipping a coin in a gamble.
View OriginalReply0
WalletDetective
· 7h ago
53.3% vs 46.7% This gap, if played out, the data would immediately reverse once released.
View OriginalReply0
Hash_Bandit
· 7h ago
ngl the 53.3% probability is basically a coin flip with extra steps... seen this movie before during the 2020 cycle, data swings harder than difficulty adjustments these days
Reply0
CoinBasedThinking
· 7h ago
53.3% vs 46.7%, this gap is really tense, it feels like flipping a coin.
View OriginalReply0
LadderToolGuy
· 7h ago
53.3% vs 46.7%, this suspense is really tense. It feels like once the CPI data is released, there will be a reverse move.
#比特币与黄金战争 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have undergone a significant shift. Will they really take action in March?
Data speaks—January's interest rate decision is almost a certainty, with a probability stable at 82.3%, leaving little room for change. But March is a different story. The probability distribution shows an interesting tug-of-war: the chance of a rate cut has broken through the 50% mark for the first time, reaching 53.3%, while the chance of holding steady is 46.7%.💥
It seems market sentiment is indeed shifting, but don't rush to conclusions—both sides' data are so close that the outcome is still uncertain. Over the next two months, every inflation report and employment figure could instantly change the entire outlook, reflecting the current market reality.
Stay closely tuned to these key indicators:
• Fresh data on US CPI and PCE
• Monthly updates on Non-Farm Payrolls
Any one of these data points could trigger a market explosion. The countdown to a potential rate cut in March has begun, and volatility in crypto assets will likely increase accordingly. Get ready. ⚠️