2025-12-28 14:23:03

The crypto market often experiences an 80% correction during deep bear phases, which is a real risk faced by all participants. Some investors are obsessed with mindless accumulation, still immersed in the illusion of cheap Bitcoin in its early days, unaware that the market has long since changed.

By comparison, the gains from precisely timing the bull top often far exceed those from a dead-hold strategy — this is not theory, but a conclusion repeatedly validated by historical data. The problem is that many people's understanding of bull and bear cycles is overly naive, firmly believing that the crypto market has an eternal bull run, while simultaneously denying that Bitcoin could fall into a deep bear.

This logical contradiction exposes the childishness in the thinking of some participants. True risk management is not about whether to accumulate or not, but about whether one can honestly face the cyclical nature of the market.

BTC-0,14%

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GateUser-afe07a92

· 6h ago

Staying idle is just waiting to die. Are there really people who believe in this so-called "Yong Niu" philosophy?

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MEVEye

· 7h ago

Dead HODLers are all gamblers at heart; frankly, it's about betting that the next round can still multiply tenfold. Accurate market top prediction is a real skill, but unfortunately most people can't do it. Only when facing an 80% decline can you see who the true believers are. That's right, cyclical patterns are the hard truth. Mindless HODL? That's a foolish approach. The dream of an eternal bull market should wake you up; reality will slap you awake. Risk management ≠ always holding; these two are fundamentally different. Historical data is right here, so what are you still believing in eternal growth... Ordinary people simply can't catch the top; might as well just HODL. When the cycle comes, you can't stop it; recognizing this is the only way to survive.

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WenAirdrop

· 7h ago

Listen, an 80% correction is indeed scary, but holding through it depends on whether you can withstand the bull market. Honestly, the gains from timing the top and bottom of the bull market far surpass just holding coins; the history is right there. Basically, it's about whether you can read the cycles. Most people simply don't understand. Eternal bull market? Uh, dream on. Wake up, everyone. The hardest part of risk management is mindset, not whether to hold or not.

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DegenRecoveryGroup

· 7h ago

All dead coins are gamblers, they don't even listen Precise bottom-fishing and top-selling is the real way Everyone is equal in the face of an 80% decline, not much to say Talking about education again, speak after you make money The cycle theory has been overused, but the key is still having money The logic of holding coins really needs to be reconsidered Is a bull top liquidation easy to say but hard to do? Who can be precise these days? The eternal bull market dream should wake up; reality is harsh Recognizing cyclicality isn't that hard, what’s difficult is execution Well said, but most people need to pay their tuition fees

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BoredApeResistance

· 7h ago

Well said, but the problem is that most people simply can't achieve precise liquidation... Wait, how did you calculate that 80% adjustment? I lost even more in that last wave last year. HODLers will never learn to take profits; it's the fate of the crypto world. Everyone understands the cyclical patterns, the hard part is not being controlled by emotions. Another textbook-style analysis; in reality, only those who survive are the winners. The theory sounds great, but my account balance is quite lean.

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