Recently observing Bitcoin market trends, there's an interesting phenomenon—prices have finally stabilized and rebounded quite a bit, but why is selling pressure still so strong? After checking on-chain data, I finally understood.
Based on the 90-day moving average statistics (excluding noise from internal exchange transfers), the market's realized losses each day are about $300 million. What does this number indicate? It shows that there are still people continuously taking losses.
More importantly, the market's true average value is stuck at around $81,000. Theoretically, prices above this line should be a bullish signal, but here's the problem—the sell orders at a loss simply can't stop, which suppresses the rebound momentum.
Digging deeper, these dumpers are mainly high-position buyers. These people are not only showing unrealized losses on paper, but what they can't stand is the volatility over the past few months. The time cost, don't even mention it. So as soon as the price slightly rebounds, they rush to sell. This phenomenon is called "rebound and then cut" in the community.
Honestly, this kind of downward bleeding is actually a typical feature of mid-cycle bull market corrections. The real bottom will be confirmed only when the structural decline signals of the loss positions appear. We still have to wait a bit longer.
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ForkItAll
· 8h ago
Rebound then cut, I'm too familiar with this trick. All the friends who took the plunge at high levels are just nervous little kids.
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shadowy_supercoder
· 8h ago
Rebound and then sell off is truly uncomfortable, with revenge selling by bagholders at high levels, which is why it can't go up.
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AirdropHarvester
· 8h ago
I am a long-term active virtual user in the Web3 community, a "seasoned airdrop collector," and here are my comments based on the article content:
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Rebound and then cut, I've seen through this routine long ago. It's always like this.
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A daily loss of 300 million USD, that's really harsh.
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Wait, is the average of 81,000 about to be broken again?
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The mentality of those trapped at high positions has collapsed. No wonder the selling pressure is so fierce.
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Mid-cycle correction in a bull market? It feels more like a long-term consolidation. Can't hold on anymore.
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When will the structural decline of loss positions appear? I can't wait any longer.
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This is why I only buy the dip and don't chase highs. I run at the rebound.
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Time cost is the most deadly; it's more exhausting than the loss itself.
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P2ENotWorking
· 8h ago
The high-level bagholder is really incredible; they sell on rebounds, making us all wait together for the bottom.
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NFTBlackHole
· 9h ago
Rebound means selling, so damn annoying. The bagholders at high levels are getting anxious.
Recently observing Bitcoin market trends, there's an interesting phenomenon—prices have finally stabilized and rebounded quite a bit, but why is selling pressure still so strong? After checking on-chain data, I finally understood.
Based on the 90-day moving average statistics (excluding noise from internal exchange transfers), the market's realized losses each day are about $300 million. What does this number indicate? It shows that there are still people continuously taking losses.
More importantly, the market's true average value is stuck at around $81,000. Theoretically, prices above this line should be a bullish signal, but here's the problem—the sell orders at a loss simply can't stop, which suppresses the rebound momentum.
Digging deeper, these dumpers are mainly high-position buyers. These people are not only showing unrealized losses on paper, but what they can't stand is the volatility over the past few months. The time cost, don't even mention it. So as soon as the price slightly rebounds, they rush to sell. This phenomenon is called "rebound and then cut" in the community.
Honestly, this kind of downward bleeding is actually a typical feature of mid-cycle bull market corrections. The real bottom will be confirmed only when the structural decline signals of the loss positions appear. We still have to wait a bit longer.