2025-12-28 15:10:22

#数字资产市场动态 Ethereum 4-hour chart is acting up again—RSI has dropped to 21.1. Historically, this level has always been a prelude to a violent rebound. But the strange part is that the daily chart is still heading down, while short-term indicators are screaming "reversal."

Currently, $ETH is stuck at the 2947 level, with bears and bulls in a tense standoff. The real question is: Is this the main force setting a trap to wipe out retail investors, or is smart money taking the opportunity to bottom fish? The market will speak in the next few hours.

**Rooted Contradiction**

Extreme oversold conditions leading to a collapse are tightly opposing a downtrend. The 4-hour RSI is at an extreme low, but the 1-hour is trying to turn around. Signal quality is barely B+, opportunities are clear, but risks are significant.

**Where is the Last Line of Defense**

Bulls need to counterattack and hold the 2928-2935 zone, staying above the 1-hour support at 2926. If it falls below 2890, the bullish logic is completely invalidated, and it’s time to accept defeat.

**What to Do**

Counter-trend rebound attempt, but keep positions light. The entry zone is 2928-2935, enter in batches, with targets at 2960 and 2990. Set stop-loss at 2890, exit immediately if hit. Do not invest more than 3% of your total position. The risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:1.4 to 1:2+.

**Life-Saving Rules**

First, keep positions small—trading against the daily trend leaves no room for heavy holdings. Second, stop-loss is a matter of life and death—if 2890 breaks, run, no excuses. Third, take profits when the time is right—if the price hits 2960, move your stop-loss to your cost basis immediately. Fourth, if 2926 breaks and the price closes below, the rebound dream is over; prepare to switch to a bearish mindset.

**Key Reminder**

This isn’t a grand narrative of trend reversal, just short-term fighting based on extreme data. Wait until the price truly retraces to the 2928-2935 zone, and only act if there are bullish signals on the 1-hour chart. Chasing at 2947 is just asking for trouble.

In the game of risking life on the edge, discipline is your only armor.

ETH3,52%

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SerumSurfer

· 13h ago

2947 This level is really hard to hold, RSI is screaming, but I still don't dare to chase... Last time I played like this, I got cut directly. Light position sniper attempt at 2928-2935, if it breaks 2890, immediately exit, nothing more to say. The odds look good on paper, but it feels like wolves among sheep waiting for prey... Whoever truly bottoms out this round will win. The 4-hour rebound signal is so extreme, but the 1-hour is pretending to be dead, this contrast is a bit creepy. Still that saying, stop-loss is more important than anything else—one wrong move in this market and it's game over.

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ValidatorViking

· 13h ago

ngl, the 4h rsi at 21.1 screams oversold but that daily downtrend is still gnawing away... classic consensus finality issue between timeframes. wouldn't touch this knife without proper slashing risk management tbh. battle-tested traders know better than to chase 2947 right now.

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PumpStrategist

· 13h ago

Seeing RSI 21.1 makes you want to go all-in? Typical rookie thinking, this wave is a trap set by the big players. --- I've had my eye on the 2928-2935 range for a while, but chasing at 2947 now is just asking for death. Waiting it out. --- The daily chart is still falling, but the 4-hour chart is screaming reversal. This contradiction is too obvious. If it breaks 2890, admit defeat—no need to hesitate. --- The saying "light positions are the baseline" is spot on, but I still see a bunch of fools in the comments going all in. --- Interesting levels, but risking heavy with a signal quality of B+? I suggest you first check the trading volume. --- Breaking below 2926 and closing lower means the rebound dream is over. This logical judgment is sound; discipline is your only armor. --- Trading on the edge definitely requires discipline, but most people are reluctant to cut losses. --- The pattern is formed; now it depends on how the market plays out in the next few hours. I’m waiting for 2928 to act. --- Probability strategies are good, but with odds of 1:1.4 to 1:2+, isn’t it not that tempting? Are you sufficiently managing risk?

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ZKProofster

· 13h ago

ngl the "discipline is your only armor" bit hits different when you're actually watching the liquidation cascade happen in real-time. most people reading this will yolo 2947 anyway and wonder why they're rekt by tuesday.

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GateUser-3580847a

· 13h ago

Merry Christmas, let's get bullish! 🐂

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TooScaredToSell

· 13h ago

Small position sniping, sell immediately when breaking 2890, no other way.

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