2025-12-29 08:28:52

Regarding lithium carbonate futures, I shared my views on Christmas Eve. Many people are eager to buy the dip or afraid of missing out, but such mindset can easily lead to problems.

Accurately pinpointing turning points is honestly impossible for anyone. However, there is a more important logic: after a clear acceleration phase appears, be cautious of chasing the high. From a long-term perspective, this rhythm-based trading approach has a significantly higher probability of making money than losing—this is what is called a probability advantage.

Don't chase the rally, don't FOMO, stick to this principle, and you won't make many mistakes even when you are wrong.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

quietly_staking

· 11h ago

Honestly, bottom-fishing is just self-hypnosis. When it drops, you want to wait a bit longer; when it rises, you start regretting missing out. It's an endless cycle. The principle of not chasing highs sounds simple, but in practice, it's really tough to stick to. Sense of rhythm in trading > chasing highs and selling lows. This is the realization I gained from paying the most expensive tuition fee.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunter

· 11h ago

Sure, I love to hear that, but I just can't do it haha People who chase highs should really think twice; FOMO can be deadly That's right, having a probabilistic advantage is the real key Hitting a turning point? Better not dream about it; earning money based on probabilities is more reliable Avoiding FOMO is really tough, but sticking to it truly pays off

View OriginalReply0

WhaleMinion

· 11h ago

That's right, the mentality of bottom-fishing is really a bad thing. I've seen too many people get trapped. Who can accurately identify the turning point? It's better to wait for the rhythm rather than guess the bottom. FOMO is just a meat-cutting machine; if you can resist it, you'll win. Don't add to the rapid move; I have a better understanding of this wave now. Probability theory strategies are indeed reliable, much better than gambling on luck. Stick to not chasing the rise; looking back, it's all correct.

View OriginalReply0

rug_connoisseur

· 11h ago

I've heard about the inflection point so many times, but in the end, you still have to honestly stick to the probability advantage—that's the real way to make money.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeSurvivor