#美联储回购协议计划 On-chain data analyst recently shared an interesting observation: when the entire market forms a consensus of bearish outlook, it often signals a bottom.
Looking back at history, during the July to October wave last year and the February to April wave this year, the market experienced similar "everyone is bearish" situations — and the results were reversals. Such cycles usually last for a period, especially more pronounced in long-term bear markets.
We only entered this phase in early November, and now the market is heavily turning bearish, so it's indeed a bit late in terms of timing. Although technical indicators are still somewhat optimistic, in a bear market environment, caution is still necessary — no rushing. That's just how the market works — the consensus of the majority often points in the opposite direction.
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SelfRugger
· 8h ago
Is everyone being bearish usually a sign of a bottom? Sounds good, but this time it doesn't feel that simple... The timing does seem a bit off.
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NestedFox
· 8h ago
The best time to buy is when everyone is bearish. With such a clear historical pattern, how can some people still not see it?
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HodlKumamon
· 8h ago
Based on historical data, the all-hands bearish approach indeed has a pretty high success rate, but the timing is a bit tight.
Hmm, still stick to dollar-cost averaging, no need to rush.
I managed to get through those two waves last year, and this time, hold on tight.
The majority's consensus that the opposite is a sure rule is really spot on; it hits every time.
In a bear market, reckless moves are the biggest losses; staying calm is the most valuable.
Actually, technical indicators are useless; it all depends on how scared retail investors are. The more scared, the lower the bottom.
Buy slowly, don't go all in, let's endure together.
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SmartContractWorker
· 8h ago
Everyone being bearish is the bottom. This theory gets old, but there are always exceptions. Don't trap yourself too tightly.
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RektRecovery
· 8h ago
yeah ngl the "everyone bearish = bottom" narrative is the most predictable trap in the book. seen this exact play out twice and suddenly everyone's an analyst? lmao
#美联储回购协议计划 On-chain data analyst recently shared an interesting observation: when the entire market forms a consensus of bearish outlook, it often signals a bottom.
Looking back at history, during the July to October wave last year and the February to April wave this year, the market experienced similar "everyone is bearish" situations — and the results were reversals. Such cycles usually last for a period, especially more pronounced in long-term bear markets.
We only entered this phase in early November, and now the market is heavily turning bearish, so it's indeed a bit late in terms of timing. Although technical indicators are still somewhat optimistic, in a bear market environment, caution is still necessary — no rushing. That's just how the market works — the consensus of the majority often points in the opposite direction.