2025-12-29 09:02:15

#比特币与黄金战争 CryptoQuant's on-chain analysis team has noticed an interesting phenomenon — the market has recently reached a rare consensus on being bearish. It seems everyone is pessimistic, but this is precisely when it's easiest to get caught in a trap.

Looking back at history makes it clear. The summer and fall of 2024 (July to October), as well as the beginning of this year to spring (February to April), the market experienced similar high levels of consensus expectations. And the result? Only a few people profit.

Once such a phase forms, it usually lasts for quite a while, especially in the context of a long-term bear market. Starting from early November, we’ve just stepped through this door, so there's no need to rush into action. But if you're still bearish now? Honestly, the tickets might already be sold out.

Currently, indicators are actually leaning optimistic, but in a bear market, optimism is the easiest way to slip up. As the old saying goes — be cautious, and wait and see.

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BearMarketSunriser

· 7h ago

Coming back with this again? Every time you say "a minority makes money," why am I not part of that minority?

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SolidityStruggler

· 9h ago

Here we go again with the "everyone is bearish and should take the opposite action" argument... How many times have I heard that haha Just be bearish if you want, I really don’t understand anyway Wait a minute, I did get caught during the February to April wave, should I get in this time too? The phrase "tickets are not selling" really hits hard, but panicking really doesn’t help anyway

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ColdWalletGuardian

· 9h ago

The consensus on a bear market is really the biggest trap; history always repeats itself. When everyone is bearish, it's time to reflect on yourself. It's only been a few months since November, why the rush? Don't be fooled by false optimism in a bear market. The phrase "tickets can't be sold" hits the mark; those who have already exited are just watching the show. Instead of constantly singing bearish tunes, it's better to wait for a confirmed signal; after all, these few weeks don't make much difference.

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FlashLoanLarry

· 9h ago

To put it simply, it's starting that same logic of "everyone is bearish is a contrarian signal" again... Every time I hear this, I want to laugh because some people have indeed made money, but even more people have fallen for the trap of "being too clever by half." History repeating itself is true, but is it really the same this time? I really want to see how long this wave from November until now can last.

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CompoundPersonality

· 9h ago

Everyone is bearish, and you still dare to continue being bearish? Bro, you're just digging your own grave.

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