2025-12-29 09:25:35

Recently, an investor has been aggressively increasing their Ethereum holdings, planning to add another $1 billion to their position. His approach is very aggressive—he just bought spot Ethereum, then immediately collateralized and borrowed stablecoins against these coins, and continued using these funds to buy more Ethereum. The logic behind this cycle of borrowing and lending is clear: he is betting that Ethereum will rise rapidly, leveraging to amplify capital utilization. But the risks are also obvious—borrowing incurs interest, and if the liquidation price is reached, there is a risk of liquidation. If Ethereum starts to decline, he will face double losses. Institutional investors especially favor this cycle of borrowing and lending. The question is, will this round of activity directly "sacrifice" participants, or could it instead trigger a more violent rally?

The silver market is also quite lively. The price once surged to $82, setting a new record high. But a sudden turn occurred—Eastern authorities announced export control policies on silver, and the price was immediately hammered down. Wall Street institutions have been shorting silver recently; seeing the price rise to $82 over a few days, they almost got liquidated. Based on market trends, silver is expected to continue upward, targeting $100, while gold's target is set at $5000.

MicroStrategy is preparing $2 billion to meet market interest payments and to hedge against potential stock price volatility caused by being removed from certain indices around January 15. This timing is critical—less than a month away—and warrants close attention to subsequent developments.

In terms of trading performance, the long position on Ethereum at the 2906 level given the day before directly yielded 70 points profit. Yesterday, Bitcoin Cash short at around 637 also captured up to 30 points.

Current market snapshot: Bitcoin at 89,700, with short-term support at 87,260, and resistance at 91,000. Ethereum at 3,030, with short-term support at 2,950, and resistance at 3,070.

Mid-term expectations: Before March 2026, the market is expected to be in a large-range consolidation mode, with Bitcoin oscillating between 80,000 and 100,000, and Ethereum between 2,500 and 3,500. By around April next year, the market will start to decline, with Bitcoin falling below 80,000 into a 60,000–80,000 range, and Ethereum into a 2,000–2,500 range.

For ultra-long-term positioning, the strategy is point-based: establish long positions at 2088 and 72888, allocating 30% of the capital. Set another long position at 1388 and 48888, allocating 40%. The remaining funds are temporarily not deployed.

ETH-0,3%

BTC-0,06%

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ChainDoctor

· 7h ago

The cycle of lending and borrowing is really a knife's edge, a slight reversal and you're directly liquidated. During the silver at $82, the short position almost wiped out the entire group haha. At this point, you really need to keep an eye on the developments around January 15. The combination of the 2088 and 72888 levels with 30% position size makes the long-term strategy still stable.

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MEVSupportGroup

· 7h ago

Circular lending is really playing with fire; one misstep and you could become a martyr to the market. Silver broke through $82, directly crushing Wall Street shorts. LOL. As soon as the policy was announced, it was hammered down. This wave is really a harvest. MicroStrategy's $2 billion response by January 15th, the timing is indeed a bit tight. The 70-point profit from the 2906 wave was well captured, but it feels like the volatility has become even more intense afterward. If ETH rises this much again, be cautious of the 3070 resistance. Pulling back to 2950 is the proper entry point.

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HalfBuddhaMoney

· 8h ago

This guy really walks a tightrope when playing with leverage. Once a dump happens, he's done for. The surge to $82 in silver was indeed exciting, catching Wall Street off guard. Now everyone is betting on $100. MicroStrategy's $2 billion is probably preparing for January 15th. Time is tight. A 70-point profit is comfortable, but how the market will move afterward remains a question. Rather than focusing on long-term expectations, it's better to survive this month first.

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Ser_Liquidated

· 8h ago

Damn, this cycle lending is really playing with fire. It’s fun to get liquidated once, but afterwards it’s a cremation ground. This guy is pretty bold, going all-in with 1 billion USD. If a liquidation gets triggered, it’s game over. Silver 82 just got smashed down, this is institutional fishing. Short covering is just perfect. On January 15th, MicroStrategy’s critical moment, I need to keep an eye on it. Feels like a change is coming. Eating 70 points at 2906 is satisfying, but I still have no idea how the market will move afterward. Breaking 80,000 in April next year, then a reshuffle will be needed. Planning ahead now. The points 72888 and 48888 feel a bit fake. Can they really be smashed? This kind of leverage trading is just gambling on the market. Win the bet and brag, lose and it’s instant vaporization. No middle ground.

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DAOTruant

· 8h ago

The cycle of lending and borrowing would have exploded in the past. Now institutions are playing it very skillfully. I just want to see who will be the first to run. Silver's move is really fierce, almost burying the bears alive. Waiting to see the $100 show. That ETH order at 2906 is really sweet, taking off with a 70-point gain directly.

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ContractTearjerker

· 8h ago

The play of circular lending is really too risky; if institutions miss this wave, it's gg. Silver surged to 82 and was then hammered down again. Wall Street's short sellers almost got pressed to the ground and rubbed, quite amusing. The timing around January 15th really needs close attention. MicroStrategy prepared 2 billion, but there's no guarantee there won't be any variables. The long position at 2906 gained 70 points, which is okay. Now, pushing towards the 3070 resistance feels a bit risky. Waiting until April next year for a long-term layout might be too optimistic. There are too many market variables.

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potentially_notable

· 8h ago

The loop lending gameplay is really a gambler's mentality; once a dump happens, it explodes immediately. That $82 silver wave almost made me laugh to death. The institutions were shorting there and got caught off guard, serves them right. January 15th is a very critical point. MicroStrategy's 2 billion is really fighting hard to defend the market. A 70-point long position feels comfortable to hold, but in this kind of market, do you believe it might reverse in the next second? The ultra-long-term layout looks quite aggressive, but I don't know if it will really fall that much by April next year. It's a bit uncertain.

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