RIVER's recent rally to around 5.18 has already shown signs of fatigue. From the 15-minute K-line chart, the price encountered resistance at the 5.18 level and started to decline. The MACD red histogram is shrinking, and the moving averages are showing more obvious turning points — all indicating that the upward trend may be coming to an end.

More interestingly, there are movements in the capital flow. The proportion of large traders holding no positions has been quietly increasing, and the open interest in contracts remains stagnant at high levels, suggesting that smart money is quietly reducing their positions. At key price levels, active sell orders are also testing with increased volume, signaling a clear sign of potential exit.

For retail traders chasing the trend later, rather than buying at the high now, it’s better to wait patiently for a rebound. When the price retraces to around 5.15, consider decisively shorting with a stop-loss placed above 5.2. The first target is 4.8; if that level breaks, then 4.5 becomes the next focus. This approach is much more reliable than blindly bottom-fishing.