The entire network is bearish, but this may not be a bad thing.
Recently, market sentiment has indeed shifted to pessimism, with social media filled with bearish voices and a prevailing bear market tone. But a closer look at market history shows that whenever there is a "consensus bearish" situation, it often signals the strongest contrarian opportunity.
From July to October last year and February to April this year, sentiment charts indicated that after forming an extremely pessimistic consensus, the market suddenly reversed, followed by violent surges. Those who were steadfastly bearish were ultimately left behind. Now, the same scenario is repeating—sentiment indicators have plunged to freezing point, retail panic is spreading, media continuously sings bearish, and many even declare the bull market dead.
This is the market's magic. When everyone is running in the same direction, the real opportunity often lies in the opposite.
The market is essentially a process of shakeouts. The main forces need to clear out participants without conviction and those easily manipulated by emotions. The fear you're feeling now is exactly the emotional state they want. An extremely pessimistic environment is actually a warm-up phase for a new round of market movement, not the end, but the silence before ignition.
Looking at a longer time frame, the evolution path of a bull market is like this: first born in pessimism—when people least believe, the opportunity has already sprouted; second, growing amid doubt—more and more people question, but holders remain steadfast; finally, dying in celebration—when everyone rushes in, the top is near. We are currently in the first stage.
For retail investors, the biggest test now is not technology but psychology. Don’t be driven by emotions. Stay calm, maintain your positions, and learn to sniff out opportunities when others are fearful. True profits never come from following the crowd but from contrarian thinking.
Remember: the market bottom is often the hardest moment to endure, but also the most opportunity-rich.
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BrokenDAO
· 8h ago
It's the same old rhetoric... Every time you say "extreme pessimism is an opportunity," if it were so easy to predict, you'd be financially free by now.
From a mechanism design perspective, the information asymmetry between retail investors and the main players can't be truly compensated. The "counterintuitive thinking" you mention is actually just betting on the other side's emotions; fundamentally, it's still a game of strategy, not some profound insight.
History repeating itself does not equal the future being certain; change your perspective to account for survivor bias.
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bridgeOops
· 8h ago
Here we go again with this? Every time they say the bottom is an opportunity, but the coins in my hands keep hitting the daily limit down. I'm done.
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BakedCatFanboy
· 8h ago
Here we go again with this brainwashing rhetoric. If it were that simple, everyone would be a millionaire by now.
This time is really different; the fundamentals are completely rotten.
What sounds good is that it's the bottom, but in reality, they just want us to take the bait.
Wait, it seems to be going up again? Damn, this trick is really clever.
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NFTFreezer
· 8h ago
The more the entire network is bearish, the more I buy happily. Anyway, when this wave rises, those shorts will be crying their eyes out.
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TeaTimeTrader
· 8h ago
Here we go again, you said the same thing last year, and what was the result? Do you still dare to say it's the bottom now?
The entire network is bearish, but this may not be a bad thing.
Recently, market sentiment has indeed shifted to pessimism, with social media filled with bearish voices and a prevailing bear market tone. But a closer look at market history shows that whenever there is a "consensus bearish" situation, it often signals the strongest contrarian opportunity.
From July to October last year and February to April this year, sentiment charts indicated that after forming an extremely pessimistic consensus, the market suddenly reversed, followed by violent surges. Those who were steadfastly bearish were ultimately left behind. Now, the same scenario is repeating—sentiment indicators have plunged to freezing point, retail panic is spreading, media continuously sings bearish, and many even declare the bull market dead.
This is the market's magic. When everyone is running in the same direction, the real opportunity often lies in the opposite.
The market is essentially a process of shakeouts. The main forces need to clear out participants without conviction and those easily manipulated by emotions. The fear you're feeling now is exactly the emotional state they want. An extremely pessimistic environment is actually a warm-up phase for a new round of market movement, not the end, but the silence before ignition.
Looking at a longer time frame, the evolution path of a bull market is like this: first born in pessimism—when people least believe, the opportunity has already sprouted; second, growing amid doubt—more and more people question, but holders remain steadfast; finally, dying in celebration—when everyone rushes in, the top is near. We are currently in the first stage.
For retail investors, the biggest test now is not technology but psychology. Don’t be driven by emotions. Stay calm, maintain your positions, and learn to sniff out opportunities when others are fearful. True profits never come from following the crowd but from contrarian thinking.
Remember: the market bottom is often the hardest moment to endure, but also the most opportunity-rich.