Last night, an anomaly appeared on the blockchain—an Ethereum ICO address that had been dormant for 8 years suddenly woke up, transferring a total of 143,000 ETH (approximately $3.2 billion) in one go. This large transaction immediately startled the market. Historically, the previous two similar whale sell-offs triggered declines of over 40%, and the market has now sounded the alarm.
Triple risk outbreak: The Federal Reserve's probability of a rate cut in January is only 13%, ETF net outflows over the past five days reached $530 million, and ETH price has already broken below the critical support level of $2,800.
Technical defense levels are gradually lowering: · First line of defense at $2,800 → Breached · Critical level at $2,100 → 2.1 million buy orders accumulated · Extreme bottom at $1,800 → The predicted critical point by institutions
The current response plan is quite straightforward: 1. Clear ETH leveraged positions 2. Keep spot holdings below 15% 3. Tentatively allocate 10% at $2,000 4. Gradually buy the bottom at $1,800
In the long term, there is a chance to return to $8,500 by 2026, but for now, survival is the priority.
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SmartContractWorker
· 11h ago
It's the same old story, every time they say we need to survive, and now those who obediently reduced their positions are all regretting it.
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DegenWhisperer
· 2025-12-31 21:54
Uh, it's the same story again. How many times has history repeated itself, and you still believe?
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zkProofInThePudding
· 2025-12-31 15:33
Here we go again with this routine, the old trick of history repeating itself. Every time the whales move, it causes a scare.
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ProbablyNothing
· 2025-12-29 11:50
8 years of silence, now transferring 3.2 billion. Is history about to repeat itself?
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RugpullSurvivor
· 2025-12-29 11:48
Here we go again, I'm tired of hearing this explanation... The first two times, they said a 40% drop, but what happened? It just rebounded, who are they trying to scare?
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GasWastingMaximalist
· 2025-12-29 11:47
Here we go again, with these alarmist stories. Does an 8-year silence necessarily mean a crash? When prices are being pushed up, why does no one say that whales are optimistic? This double standard is just too obvious.
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RetiredMiner
· 2025-12-29 11:45
Haven't moved in 8 years, and now suddenly investing so much all at once—what does that say... I'm a bit panicked.
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DaoGovernanceOfficer
· 2025-12-29 11:33
ngl the whole "whale dumps = 40% crash" historical precedent thing is giving correlation-causation fallacy energy. empirically speaking, have we actually controlled for macro conditions? the data suggests these 2017-era addresses moving coins might just be rebalancing, not capitulation 🤓
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digital_archaeologist
· 2025-12-29 11:31
Coming back with this again? Every time you say it will drop to 1800, I just laugh. If it were really going to crash that low, it would have already crashed long ago.
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LiquidatedNotStirred
· 2025-12-29 11:25
It has only moved once in 8 years, this time it's definitely going to crash, you can even smell the blood in the air.
#比特币与黄金战争 【3.2 Billion Dollar Large Transfer Triggers Alert! Ethereum Whale Emerges After 8 Years of Silence】
$ETH $BTC
Last night, an anomaly appeared on the blockchain—an Ethereum ICO address that had been dormant for 8 years suddenly woke up, transferring a total of 143,000 ETH (approximately $3.2 billion) in one go. This large transaction immediately startled the market. Historically, the previous two similar whale sell-offs triggered declines of over 40%, and the market has now sounded the alarm.
Triple risk outbreak: The Federal Reserve's probability of a rate cut in January is only 13%, ETF net outflows over the past five days reached $530 million, and ETH price has already broken below the critical support level of $2,800.
Technical defense levels are gradually lowering:
· First line of defense at $2,800 → Breached
· Critical level at $2,100 → 2.1 million buy orders accumulated
· Extreme bottom at $1,800 → The predicted critical point by institutions
The current response plan is quite straightforward:
1. Clear ETH leveraged positions
2. Keep spot holdings below 15%
3. Tentatively allocate 10% at $2,000
4. Gradually buy the bottom at $1,800
In the long term, there is a chance to return to $8,500 by 2026, but for now, survival is the priority.