Recent trading data from a certain prediction market has revealed an interesting phenomenon. Among over 1.7 million participating addresses, only about 30% are actually profitable. In other words, a full 70% of traders are already losing money.
What's even more heartbreaking is that within the 30% who are profitable, most are earning only modest amounts—mainly in the $0-$1,000 range. Want to rank in the top 4.9% of profit earners? You need to make at least over $1,000.
And here comes the most striking data: less than 0.04% of the top addresses have easily captured over 70% of the realized profits in the entire market. This winner-takes-all pattern is vividly reflected in the prediction market. In simple terms, the vast majority of retail investors are essentially working for the top addresses.
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FlashLoanKing
· 9h ago
70% loss? Ha, this is the prediction market. Most people are just giving their money to whales to play.
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SignatureDenied
· 9h ago
70% loss? Haha, I was wondering why it feels like this casino isn't that simple.
The top 0.04% takes 70% of the profits—that's the old capital trick. Retail investors are always on the losing side.
It seems this prediction market is just a different flavor of the same old story; you still have to rely on information asymmetry and capital advantage to dominate.
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StablecoinArbitrageur
· 9h ago
0.04% taking 70%+ of realized gains... classic power law distribution. honestly not even surprised anymore.
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LonelyAnchorman
· 9h ago
70% of people lose money. I need to remember this data so that in the future, when others try to boast about predicting the market, I can just throw this back at them.
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GateUser-3824aa38
· 9h ago
70% losing money, 0.04% eating meat, this data is really damn straightforward.
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fomo_fighter
· 9h ago
70% of it is lost, luckily I didn't go all in on this one.
Recent trading data from a certain prediction market has revealed an interesting phenomenon. Among over 1.7 million participating addresses, only about 30% are actually profitable. In other words, a full 70% of traders are already losing money.
What's even more heartbreaking is that within the 30% who are profitable, most are earning only modest amounts—mainly in the $0-$1,000 range. Want to rank in the top 4.9% of profit earners? You need to make at least over $1,000.
And here comes the most striking data: less than 0.04% of the top addresses have easily captured over 70% of the realized profits in the entire market. This winner-takes-all pattern is vividly reflected in the prediction market. In simple terms, the vast majority of retail investors are essentially working for the top addresses.