Why XRP Has Been Trapped in a Two-Year Range While Eyeing $1.58

$XRP , the native asset of Ripple’s payment network, continues to trade inside a long-established range, with repeated failures at resistance maintaining a rotational price structure and keeping attention on the key support level near $1.58.
For nearly two years, XRP has respected clearly defined boundaries, oscillating between support and resistance without producing a decisive breakout or breakdown. Even during periods of increased volatility, price action has remained contained, reinforcing the market’s lack of directional commitment.
As price drifts back toward the lower end of this range, focus is once again shifting to the $1.58 area—a level that has consistently acted as a strong demand zone and historical floor.
Key technical levels
XRP remains range-bound between $1.58 support and $3.50 resistance
Repeated rejections near the range high confirm a rotational market structure
$1.58 remains a critical liquidity zone that could define the next move
The current range was established after an impulsive move followed by a successful retest in 2024. Since then, XRP has repeatedly rotated between the upper boundary near $3.50 and the lower boundary around $1.58, a pattern typical of mature, balanced markets where neither buyers nor sellers gain lasting control.
From a technical standpoint, ranges of this size usually remain valid until price decisively breaks and holds beyond one of the boundaries on a closing basis. Without that confirmation, continued rotation inside the range is the higher-probability outcome.
Recent price action supports this view. XRP’s latest push toward resistance was met with strong selling pressure, triggering a sharp pullback. While this rejection confirmed active supply at higher levels, it did not break market structure. Instead, it sent price back toward the middle and lower portion of the range.
The $1.58 level remains pivotal. As the lower boundary of the range, it represents a zone where liquidity has repeatedly accumulated. From a market-auction perspective, price often revisits these areas during corrective phases to absorb remaining sell pressure and rebalance positioning.
Importantly, a move toward $1.58 does not automatically signal bearish continuation. Historically, XRP has frequently bounced from this area after liquidity is cleared, leading to renewed rotations back toward resistance.
Overall market structure still points to consolidation rather than trend development. XRP continues to print neither higher highs nor lower lows outside the range, reflecting a lack of strong directional conviction.
This environment aligns with broader altcoin conditions, as assets like XRP, BNB, SOL, and ADA face pressure amid declining December volumes, now sitting near 2025 lows—further supporting the case for continued range-bound behavior.
Outlook As long as XRP remains within its established boundaries, rotational price action is likely to continue. A test of the $1.58 support could complete another range cycle and potentially trigger a rebound, assuming the level holds on a closing basis.
A confirmed breakout would require a high-volume close above $3.50, while a sustained move below $1.58 would mark a structural shift. Until then, XRP is expected to remain confined between $1.58 and $3.50.
XRP is currently down more than 9% year-to-date.
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