2026-01-03 10:32:46

#Strategy加码BTC配置 Citi's recent target price for Bitcoin has caused quite a stir in the market—seeing $143,000 within 12 months, with an optimistic scenario even aiming for $189,000. What does this judgment reflect? Institutions are providing the answer through their actions.

Just look at BlackRock's moves. Bitcoin ETFs have now become a core component of institutional asset allocation in 2025, discussed on the same level as the seven major US stocks and US bonds. The holdings of IBIT have long exceeded 800,000 BTC, a figure even more aggressive than MicroStrategy. Leading financial institutions like Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and Berenberg are all increasing their positions, with capital flows very clear—90% of the new funds are coming from institutional sources.

The contrast on the retail side is very obvious. The average daily inflow for a major exchange dropped from 552 BTC to just 92 BTC, a decrease of over 83%. Even crypto KOLs who made their fortune from altcoins are shifting to talk about stocks. What does this indicate? Retail enthusiasm is waning, but this is not a bad thing; it actually shows that market sentiment is becoming more rational.

The current logic is quite straightforward: Bitcoin is no longer a casino for retail investors. The price is in a consolidation phase, but institutional chips are quietly accumulating. The support level of $70,000 given by Citi is very solid, which is the confidence behind institutional accumulation. The trends of coins like ETH and DOGE are also waiting for confirmation of this institutional cycle.

What do you think about the possibility of breaking through $200,000 in 2026?

BTC0,34%

ETH0,08%

DOGE-0,33%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

25 Likes

Reward
25
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DAOdreamer

· 01-06 10:27

Retail investors have all left, institutions are silently accumulating chips. I've seen this trick too many times.

View OriginalReply0

ThreeHornBlasts

· 01-04 07:05

Institutions are quietly accumulating chips, while retail investors are cutting losses and fleeing for their lives. This is the current situation, I guess.

View OriginalReply0

YieldFarmRefugee

· 01-03 11:02

Institutions are playing a big game, while retail investors are still guessing. Another wave of being harvested, huh.

View OriginalReply0

BearEatsAll

· 01-03 11:02

Institutions taking over from retail investors is how it should have been done all along.

View OriginalReply0

TokenTherapist

· 01-03 11:02

Retail investors have really exited the market, that 92 coins data is a bit heartbreaking. The institutions' buy-in action is too obvious this time; BlackRock directly surpasses MicroStrategy's holdings, what does that indicate? It mainly shows that the money is flowing into institutional hands.

View OriginalReply0

SatoshiNotNakamoto

· 01-03 10:53

Retail investors are starting to withdraw. This wave really depends on the institutions' stance. --- $143,000? That's conservative. I think $200,000 is just the starting point. --- BlackRock's move is indeed aggressive. Retail investors are still at the bottom, while institutions are already throwing a banquet at the top. --- Fallen from 552 to 92 coins... this data says it all. Retail investors really have no bullets left. --- The question is, how much trust can we place in Citi's target price? They also hinted at it before, but what was the result? --- The institutions are buying in so aggressively, which shows they know something. Retail investors, we need to keep up with the rhythm. --- $200,000? The 2026 target is too far ahead. Let's first see if we can stabilize at $140,000. --- Everywhere are DOGE trapped at high levels. Now switching to stocks—this turnaround is really quick. --- ETF size exceeds 80,000 coins, which means the institutions have already locked down this market. --- Just waiting for the institutions to confirm the sideways consolidation. Retail investors' voices are truly insignificant at this stage.

View OriginalReply0

NftRegretMachine

· 01-03 10:41

Institutions buy the dip while retail investors run away—it's a classic move.

View OriginalReply0