#Ripple筹划规模达10亿美元的XRP资金池 Long-term survival in the crypto world doesn't necessarily require understanding complex technicals or fancy indicators. Sometimes, the most effective approach is a seemingly simple and straightforward but disciplined "foolproof" strategy. This mindset isn't mysterious; it boils down to two words—trend following. Don't bet against the trend, don't chase bottoms, follow the rules, and it generally has reference value in most market conditions.

**Bottom Line for Coin Selection**

First, recognize the overall direction. As long as the coin is in an uptrend or a strong sideways movement, there is room for action. But if the moving averages are diverging downward and clearly in a downtrend? No matter how cheap, avoid it. This isn't stubbornness; it's self-protection.

**Three-Stage Entry Method**

Divide your funds into three equal parts and enter in stages. This is the core discipline:

When the price breaks above the 5-day moving average, invest the first part (30% of total funds). Not too much, not too little—just this amount.

When it breaks above the 15-day moving average, invest the second part (another 30%). Some might think of adding more early or changing plans, but that's exactly how losses start—discipline is used to resist such impulses.

Finally, when it breaks above the 30-day moving average, fill the remaining 30%. At this point, the position is full, and subsequent actions are about management, not adding more.

**Handling Pullbacks After Breakouts**

After breaking the 5-day line, the ideal scenario is to continue upward past the 15-day line. But markets often give a small setback—pullback. At this point, consider two situations:

If it's just a pullback but the 5-day line isn't broken, hold your position. Support is still intact.

If it falls below the 5-day line, sell first to protect your principal. This isn't about stop-loss per se, but acknowledging that the momentum isn't as strong as expected.

The same logic applies to the 15-day line. If it pulls back but doesn't break, hold; if it breaks, sell 30%. The remaining position depends on whether the 5-day line still holds—if the 5-day line is gone, exit completely.

**Handling the 30-day Line**

Once the price moves above the 30-day line, it indicates a confirmed medium-term trend. Subsequent pullbacks should be managed by gradually reducing positions according to the same moving average rules. Don't expect overnight riches; steady gains are more reliable than aggressive ones.

**Clear Logic for Reversals**

When the price shows signs of change at high levels, reverse the rules accordingly. If it falls below the 5-day line, sell 30%. If a rebound lacks strength and the trend weakens again, wait for another confirmation signal.

The strictest rule is this: if all three—5-day, 15-day, and 30-day moving averages—are broken downward, it indicates a complete trend reversal. At this point, take one action—liquidate everything. No hesitation or wishful thinking.

**Final Words**

This method doesn't rely on advanced techniques or aim for perfect "buy at the lowest, sell at the highest." The two key factors that determine whether you make money are: first, patience—wait for signals and don't act prematurely; second, execution—once rules are set, follow them strictly. Don't change your mind today and revert tomorrow.

The moment you design your trading system, your potential profits are already roughly determined. The rest depends on whether you have the discipline to stick to it.