2026-01-03 13:20:27

I have been trading full-time for 43 days now. Currently holding onto this 3080 position, honestly, I should have cut losses long ago. But instead, I keep holding, betting that it will drop to 3041 to break even.

From a technical perspective, the long-term bearish pattern remains unchanged. The only thing visible now is a rebound trend. Ethereum's daily EMA(60) is stuck around 3163, and it might push up further. The short position I opened at 3199 is actually quite risky—either it won't go up and will drop directly, or it will trigger a false breakout.

What does the upcoming trend look like? There's a high probability of a rally on Friday, followed by sideways consolidation over the weekend. By Monday, there’s likely to be a false breakout before a sharp decline. Bitcoin's daily EMA(60) pressure is more obvious; if it can break through the 92,000 to 94,000 range, there’s still a chance to short. As for Ethereum, the 3250 to 3300 price range is worth considering for a short position.

The market is like this: rebounds are opportunities to short. The key is to control risk and avoid holding onto positions like I do.

ETH1%

BTC0,88%

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RealYieldWizard

· 01-06 08:12

43 days of full-time effort to take on such a position, this mentality is really incredible... I've seen many tricks of诱多, the probability of it crashing on Monday is indeed quite high, it all depends on who can hold on until then. Don't hold on anymore, brother. Stop-losses help you live longer than trying to rescue the position. That thought of 3041, just forget it, a gambler's mentality is harmful. A rebound is indeed an opportunity for a short squeeze, but your example makes people a bit anxious... I agree that the overall long-term cycle is still bearish, but I'm just worried about诱多 biting back.

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SmartContractPlumber

· 01-06 00:03

Still gambling after 43 days? That's ridiculous. Bro, this isn't trading; it's exploiting gambling vulnerabilities on the chain.

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CantAffordPancake

· 01-03 13:50

This tactic is a bit like gambler's psychology, holding the 3080 to 3041... Brother, it's better to admit defeat. --- Monday's pump-faking, I bet five cents it’s very accurate, but then it’s another round of cutting losses. --- Your stop-loss awareness is clear, but your hand doesn’t listen to your brain haha. --- Shorting on the rebound sounds great, but what if this time it turns around and catches you off guard? --- 43 days of full-time trading, is your account still there, brother? --- The technical analysis looks good, but the execution... well, we’re all the same. --- Waiting for a short squeeze at 3199 to trap the pump, what should I do if I get caught? --- Controlling risk, you’re right, but the problem is you haven’t even done that yourself haha.

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AirdropHunter007

· 01-03 13:50

Wow, holding the position for 43 days? How strong is your mentality, man? I would have given up long ago.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-03 13:44

43 days full-time... still holding positions, this battlefield willpower is indeed impressive. Bro, are you fighting the market to the death or gambling with your life? Is the number 3041 a lifesaver or an illusion? Honestly, your analysis is still clear-headed, but you keep holding on again... this is called knowing it's wrong but continuing to make the mistake, a typical case of holding the line even after the supply chain is broken. Monday's trap? I feel this rebound might be stronger than you think, and the fate of the short positions might hang in the balance for a while. Stop messing around, controlling losses is the first lesson.

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ChainSauceMaster

· 01-03 13:40

Still gambling after 43 days of holding? Bro, you need to adjust your mindset. --- Honest people, you should have cut your losses long ago, but you're still holding on. That's greed taking over. --- Trying to pump on Monday and then smashing down? Fine, I'm just worried your prediction will cause a reversal again. --- Can 3041 drop that much? I doubt it. Don't end up cutting your losses at the last minute. --- Shorting on a rebound is correct, but your order... it's time to let go. --- Controlling risk sounds easy, but when you're actually holding the position, everyone is a gambler. --- Don't follow the old guy's way of holding positions; it's a bloody lesson. --- EMA positioning, pump and dump, I've heard this theory too many times. --- Full-time for 43 days and this is the result? Worse than I imagined. --- Rebounds do present shorting opportunities, just don't gamble your life like the poster did. --- Breaking 3199 with a short squeeze is quite risky. How come you're still adding to your position?

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