2026-01-03 14:10:13

#数字资产动态追踪 The trend surpasses speculation, and the bull market tone has been set—A market observation by a seasoned investor

Have you heard this argument? Instead of guessing short-term rises and falls all day, it’s better to focus on the larger market direction. This approach draws from Buffett’s value investing philosophy but is reinterpreted in the context of the crypto market—abandon speculation, embrace the trend.

Why are some people now claiming that the bull market has been confirmed? It’s not just optimistic talk without basis, but supported by real evidence. Look at recent market signals: sentiment is leading (various Meme coins are more active), macroeconomic conditions are gradually becoming favorable, and the development stage of the blockchain industry has laid the groundwork for an upward move. More importantly, the market is very likely to achieve this rally through "short squeeze" (also called forced covering)—the later shorts are closed, the more severe the final losses, just think about it.

This judgment framework simplifies market participants into two camps: "long" and "short." In the face of the established bullish outlook, those still insisting on being bearish? Some describe these people as "cannon fodder"—not referring to people, but to a passive fate of being squeezed out.

But here’s the truth: this kind of view is also highly subjective. The people who hold these opinions often have large positions in the market, and their optimism is based on personal interests and beliefs. "Pessimists are always right, optimists keep moving forward"—this phrase sounds like chicken soup, but the underlying logic is—investment ultimately involves turning your perception of the future into profits.

So? Just view it rationally. Trend judgment makes sense, but the market’s long and short battles are inherently a dynamic game; no one can predict with 100% certainty. The premise of riding the trend is that you truly understand the direction and strength of the trend.

MEME-1,66%

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quietly_staking

· 01-06 12:43

Well... basically, it's betting on a short squeeze and liquidation. It sounds impressive, but the risks are also high.

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MemeCurator

· 01-05 22:28

Starting to hype the "bull market is confirmed" concept again. This kind of rhetoric is always the same every time. Honestly, those heavily invested obviously want to be bullish. I understand the logic behind it, but I don't fully agree. Is being bearish just cannon fodder? That's a pretty absolute statement. History shows that those caught in a trap think this way. Trends have their reasons, but when it comes to bottom-fishing, it seems no one has ever been this calm.

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GasFeeLady

· 01-05 08:35

ngl watching gas prices rn more carefully than these "bull market confirmed" takes... nobody's timing the actual squeeze right anyway lol

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JustHodlIt

· 01-03 14:40

Heavyholders will naturally shout bull market, isn't that quite normal? --- Short squeeze sounds comfortable, but who can guarantee they are not the one being squeezed? --- Another set of "trend is decided" arguments, heard too many times. --- To put it simply, it still depends on whether you can catch the right rhythm; prediction is always easier than operation. --- Is active Meme coins enough to set the tone for a bull market? That logic is a bit shaky. --- Embracing the trend is fine, but the premise must be that you've truly understood it, not brainwashed by narratives. --- It's okay to listen to interests-related comments, but don't believe everything. --- No one can predict 100%, so why do people still speak so definitively? --- Instead of worrying about long or short, better to ask yourself how much drawdown you can tolerate. --- Macro friendliness and emotional warming are old clichés; the real question is where the genuine opportunities are. --- The phrase "bull market is confirmed" can be heard every time the market rebounds. --- Going with the trend sounds easy, but sticking to it is the real challenge.

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ZeroRushCaptain

· 01-03 14:39

Another argument that "the bull market is confirmed"... For us veteran retail investors who have been wiped out, the most feared thing is hearing this statement. The last time I heard such confident predictions was on the eve of last year's crash. People who heavily bet on a bull market may sound convincing, but in the end, it's still us who believe in the trend that get wiped out as cannon fodder. My experience with failures tells me that the market is always more unpredictable than you think; the more certain you are about a direction, the more likely it is to reverse and cut you off.

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MEVvictim

· 01-03 14:39

Heavy investors say the bull market is confirmed. Just listen to it, who doesn't have a stance? --- The short squeeze story always sounds like preheating before cutting leeks... --- It's called "going with the trend," but really it's just betting on the direction, no big difference. --- Using the term "cannon fodder" is okay, but from another perspective, those who are bearish might also save your life. --- No matter how perfect the trend judgment framework is, it ultimately comes down to the question of "do you have enough capital to survive until that day." --- Instead of pondering whether the bull market is confirmed, it's better to think about where your stop-loss point is. --- Buffett's approach here in crypto is basically playing dirty, haha. --- After hearing "the bull market is confirmed" for so many years, I just want to know who actually made money. --- Macro friendliness, sentiment recovery, short squeeze theory... with all these combined tactics, it's really hard to tell who is fooling whom.

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SocialFiQueen

· 01-03 14:29

Sounds great, but it's easy for those heavily invested to say the bull market is certain. Anyone can talk about the logic of averaging down to cover losses.

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NFTArchaeologis

· 01-03 14:26

The optimism of heavy investors is always the most convincing because money doesn't lie. But the metaphor of "cannon fodder" is indeed harsh — the market never needs moral judgment, only the choices of its participants.

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