On January 3, 2009, an unremarkable moment was forever recorded in the Bitcoin Genesis Block. At that time, no one could have imagined that this technological experiment born out of the financial crisis would evolve over 17 years into a force capable of shaking the entire financial ecosystem.



And now, as Bitcoin celebrates its 17th birthday, the规律性 of the crypto market begins to surface. Looking back at nearly a decade of market data, a clear cyclical pattern is repeating itself.

In the cycle of 2018, altcoins followed the upward trend line and collectively experienced doubled or even multiple returns. Countless small coins achieved gains of several times or even dozens of times during that window. Three years later, in 2021, history repeated itself precisely—the same trend line position, the same altcoin seasonal frenzy. This time, a new wave of investors witnessed the transfer of wealth.

Now, shifting our gaze further ahead, that red cyclical trend line points toward 2026. Based on past market rhythms, the green explosion zone can already be outlined, and the support line at the bottom is firmly supporting the current price structure. This is not metaphysics, but the "time code" of the market written with over a decade of real data.

From Bitcoin’s long-term trend, each halving cycle is accompanied by rotation opportunities among altcoins. Mainstream altcoins like Ethereum and Dogecoin follow this规律. After the main coins complete a new upward cycle, hot money in the market often splashes into more risk-tolerant assets.

Some missed out in 2018, and again in 2021. If the altcoin season really arrives in 2026 as the cycle suggests, will you miss it once more? Those seemingly insignificant potential coins now may be accumulating the energy for the next爆发.
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GweiWatchervip
· 01-05 18:55
Missed out in 2018, missed out again in 2021, can we really turn things around in 2026... Feels like we've heard this cycle theory many times already. Speaking of which, we still need to do our own homework; we can't rely solely on trend lines for guidance. It's been 17 years, and some people still make money while others lose everything—that's the game rules. Those potential coins are indeed tempting, but the risks are also real. Being cautious is not wrong. Cycle patterns are real, but human greed is also real... that's the biggest variable. 2026 is still far away; let's first stabilize the top coins in our hands. Wait, could this time the pattern be broken? There are so many market variables...
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MeltdownSurvivalistvip
· 01-05 18:48
Hmm... I've heard the story of history repeating itself quite a bit, but did 2018 and 2021 really confirm it? Honestly, I can't see the 2026 line; it always feels like armchair analysis after the fact. Missing out is forever, but this time I've learned to be smart. It exploded once in 2018, came again in 2021, and if it happens one more time, I'll go all in. This cycle theory is a bit too flexible... it can explain any outcome, right? Wait, according to this logic, we should be in the accumulation phase now? I haven't seen any decent signs of a start. But on the other hand, people who seriously analyze data do make more money than gamblers... yet I still can't understand that red line. Miner halving, hot money rotation, altcoin season... this chain of logic is quite convincing, but it feels like the risks are hidden. Hey, has anyone really made money just by relying on this? I haven't seen it myself.
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OnChainDetectivevip
· 01-04 08:04
traced the pattern through 10+ years of on-chain data... 2018, 2021, now 2026? tbh the transaction clustering looks too clean, almost suspicious how perfectly these cycles align ngl
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MetaverseLandlordvip
· 01-03 14:53
Missed it in 2018, missed it again in 2021, I just don't believe I can miss out in 2026... Let's take a gamble.
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MevSandwichvip
· 01-03 14:53
It's the same old cycle theory. Missed 2018, missed 2021, and now waiting for 2026? Man, your logic is really outrageous. --- You're right, but is this really the last chance? It feels like every time you say that. --- I believe in the rotation of copycat seasons, but your red line and green line... can they really be this accurate? --- 2026? Bro, I don't even know if I can hold on next year, and you want me to look three years ahead. --- You broke my defense, again brainwashing retail investors with "potential coins," always using this excuse. --- The words are good, but the question is, who the hell can stay off the market before 2026?
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MidnightTradervip
· 01-03 14:52
Talking about 2026 again? Forget it, let's just survive through 2025 first.
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BitcoinDaddyvip
· 01-03 14:47
Missing out in 2018 is one thing, slipping up and selling in 2021 is another, and now I'm eyeing 2026. I really can't afford to slack off this time.
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AllInAlicevip
· 01-03 14:44
I didn't get on the train in 2018, and I didn't follow in 2021. This time, I really have to seize the opportunity and can't make any more mistakes. People who make money have already been lurking at the lows. We latecomers can only follow the cycle and copy the moves. Is the cycle really that accurate? It feels more reliable than reading K-line charts. Anyway, since we have to gamble, it's better to bet on the规律. Those coins worth a penny now might be the next Dogecoin. The scary part is that we don't even know which one to choose. 2026 is still far away, but now is the time to start looking for seriously undervalued assets. The logic behind three cycles is actually the rotation of hot money: first big coins, then small coins. It's an unchanging game. Halving cycles combined with the altcoin season—I've finally understood this combo. Now it's just a matter of whether I have the guts to go all in.
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ForkItAllvip
· 01-03 14:33
Haha, the cycle metaphysics are back again, but to be honest, comparing 2018 and 2021 is really quite absurd. Wait, if 2026 really takes off, I’ll just go all-in on small coins. Anyway, I’ve already missed two times. It’s not that trend lines can decide everything, I feel it’s more about self-fulfilling psychological expectations. Stories told with data always sound good, but the key is whether you can really make money. This time, I need to carefully lay out some altcoin positions. I can’t be a leek again.
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HappyToBeDumpedvip
· 01-03 14:27
I didn't get on the train in 2018, and I fell asleep again in 2021. Now I'm still debating about 2026? Haha, okay. --- Cycle patterns are said to be quite mysterious, but if they could predict accurately, we'd be rich already. --- Wait, how is that red line calculated? Is it really just pointing to 2026? --- Here we go again, every time claiming the next round will double. Why do I always buy at the top? --- Dogecoin was really crazy back then. Looking back, it still gives me a bit of a scare. --- Potential coins accumulating energy for a breakout? Sounds like they're brainwashing themselves about their trash coins. --- If you can't grasp the cycle, it's better to dollar-cost average into Bitcoin for peace of mind. --- Talking as if it's fortune-telling, we'll only know if it's accurate next year. --- 2026 is still far away. Focusing on the current market conditions is more practical.
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