Having navigated the crypto market for years, my deepest realization isn't that technical analysis is highly sophisticated, but rather that I've learned to "know when to let go"—completely avoiding those market conditions I can't understand.



Many people think this is a loss; in fact, it's quite the opposite. The true competitive edge in trading isn't about how many market patterns you can interpret, but about deeply mastering a few high-probability setups. Almost all my current profits come from three repeatedly validated trading structures, while I avoid everything else.

**Pattern 1: Pullback Confirmation After Trend Breakout**

After a price breaks out and advances, it often pulls back. Most traders panic, thinking the uptrend is broken. My approach is the opposite—unless there's abnormal volume or the key structure is compromised, this pullback is actually the safest entry point. When the price retraces to a previous high or major support level, and a short-term breakout signal appears, I act decisively. It sounds simple, but execution requires patience—resist the impulse to chase the breakout without confirmation, as that often results in buying at a relatively high level.

**Pattern 2: Fake Breakout Rebound at the Range Bottom**

Within a consolidation zone, a sudden surge in volume breaks below the lower boundary, causing retail traders to panic and sell. Then, the market quickly rebounds and recovers. This process is like a "fake fall," designed to trap panic sellers. My strategy is to wait for a pullback confirmation and a breakout above the boundary before entering, never guessing the bottom. Because those who think they've caught the "bottom" often step right onto the real knife's edge.

**Pattern 3: Shakeout and Acceleration in the Middle of a Trend**

A stock or asset already in an uptrend suddenly consolidates or pulls back, attempting to induce a shakeout. But as long as the key support remains firm, this often indicates stronger upward momentum ahead. Once support stabilizes and a short-term breakout occurs, I add to my position decisively. If I'm wrong at this point, I can quickly exit without getting trapped.

**What I Don't Do**

Chase the top, guess the bottom, or follow the "crazy bull" trend—I've abandoned all these. When market conditions don't fit the three patterns above, my choice is simple: either stay completely in cash and wait, or exit immediately. It sounds passive, but in reality, it's the most proactive form of risk management.

Yes, this means I might miss some so-called "opportunities," but I focus on a core metric—how long I can survive in the market and how steadily I can earn. In the long run, traders who try to catch everything tend to die the fastest. Those who focus on a few high-probability scenarios can survive through cycles and last until the end.

The survival rule in the crypto world ultimately boils down to this: it's not about who makes the most profit, but who loses the least and makes the fewest mistakes. That is the true path to making money.
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RugResistantvip
· 9h ago
That's right, but you have to hold back when executing.
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PhantomMinervip
· 12h ago
To be honest, this set of theories sounds good, but few people can really stick with it.
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GamefiEscapeArtistvip
· 01-09 08:52
That's so true. I just want to copy everything, and now I'm suffering the biggest losses.
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FOMOSapienvip
· 01-09 08:42
To be honest, this thing is the essence of survival, not about how much you earn.
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MEVHuntervip
· 01-09 08:36
It sounds like it's discussing arbitrage logic in the mempool, but frankly, it's just a gambler's self-hypnosis... These three modes, in essence, are about waiting for price difference windows, similar to my approach to writing arbitrage bots. But who has calculated the latency costs of manual execution?
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NoStopLossNutvip
· 01-09 08:29
That's so right, giving up is also a way to make money.
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