2026-01-09 08:29:13

There are two key moments in the US stock market today worth paying attention to.

At 21:30 tonight, the December non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate will be released, which is one of the most sensitive economic indicators in the market. If the actual data falls below expectations, it often triggers a rebound in risk assets and provides support for cryptocurrency prices. Weak employment data usually means the Federal Reserve may face pressure to cut interest rates, which is a positive signal for all risk assets.

Later at 23:00, the U.S. Supreme Court will issue its first opinion on Trump's tariff policy. If the court rules that the policy is illegal, it will also have a positive impact on the market—eliminating policy uncertainty can often ease market anxiety and promote capital inflows into high-risk assets.

The outcomes of these two time points could become turning points for tonight's market, and are worth close monitoring.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

RamenDeFiSurvivor

· 01-12 08:17

Damn, non-farm payroll + Trump's tariffs, two consecutive hits tonight? This is the rhythm of an explosion It's employment data again, every time they say it can determine the market... Last time, BTC still fell when they said that Court ruling on tariffs? Is this thing reliable? Policies always seem to be unpredictable If both time points are positive, I have to hold on, what if both fail? If non-farm payroll is a bit weak and expectations of rate cuts rise, that would be truly bullish for the crypto market The 23:00 one is even more uncertain; if the tariff policy is really overturned... I can't imagine, it's crazy I bet non-farm payroll will surprise to the downside, and BTC will take off—this scenario

View OriginalReply0

AirdropChaser

· 01-09 23:33

Non-farm data releases cause the market to explode immediately. Can we really rebound this time? Feels like I've been trapped for too long. Regarding the tariff policy, no matter how the court rules, it's quite uncertain. Still, let's wait and see. Hey, these two time points are back-to-back. I'm afraid I'll have to stay up late tonight to watch. If the interest rate cut expectations come together, can the coin price strengthen? I bet on it.

View OriginalReply0

PonziDetector

· 01-09 14:09

Non-farm data is probably going to be "in line with expectations" once again. Anyway, retail investors like us can never guess right. Waiting for the court ruling? Can this guy's policies be illegal? Haha, tools for harvesting profits are never going to be judged illegal. Tonight is destined to be a harvest, go to bed early, brothers. At 21:30 and 23:00, two "opportunities," but actually two traps. Rate cut pressure? Haha, who knows the Federal Reserve's true intentions, but our wallets are the ones that matter.

View OriginalReply0

SignatureDenied

· 01-09 08:58

Non-farm data is generally a contrarian indicator; falling below expectations is actually a positive signal. This logic has long been outdated. Waiting for the court ruling, what can be said about tariff policies? Uncertainty itself is the greatest certainty. At 21:30, I might fall asleep. Let's see if anyone will take me to go all-in then. Those who dare to trade based on these two points are either professional players or new retail investors who got headshot by the market. Bitcoin is currently oscillating at this level. Be careful not to step on a landmine.

View OriginalReply0

WhaleWatcher

· 01-09 08:50

Weak non-farm data is bullish, and as soon as the rate cut expectation appears, the crypto market takes off. I believe in this logic. Wait, are we also watching the court case? Feels like tonight will either surge or crash, no middle ground. Brothers, are you all ready? Two black swan events hitting at the same time, my heart can't take it. I'm just worried that good data might spoil the rate cut, and that would be a real blow.

View OriginalReply0

OffchainOracle

· 01-09 08:46

Non-farm data comes out and you immediately know it will either surge or plummet. Let's see if it can break the previous high this time. Wait, the court still plans to intervene on tariffs? Are they trying to loosen restrictions on the crypto market? Is this the night of destiny? Two positive signals stacking together. The expectation of interest rate cuts—basically easing monetary policy—means cryptocurrencies are about to take off. If both trigger at the same time, tonight might be a night of staying up late to monitor the market.

View OriginalReply0

Ser_Liquidated

· 01-09 08:45

Wow, the non-farm payrolls are coming, betting this wave will explode... Wait, the court still has to make a ruling? Tonight are we playing mahjong? Really? The rate cut expectation is so strong? My short position is about to face a black swan. Two black swan events happening at the same time, retail investors deserve to get liquidated haha. No, who among you is betting on weak non-farm data? I'm going to do the opposite.

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterLucky

· 01-09 08:43

As soon as the non-farm payroll data loosens, the coin price starts to climb steadily. This logic has become old and familiar. I'm just worried that the Federal Reserve will play dead, and a rate cut is still far off. Regarding tariffs... the court will ultimately have to give politicians face, so don't be too optimistic. Let's wait and see if tonight's situation turns out to be another false alarm.

View OriginalReply0