#密码资产动态追踪 US Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released tonight at 21:30. Will it shake the Federal Reserve's interest rate plans this time?
Currently, the market generally believes there is over an 80% chance that the January FOMC will hold steady. Unless the non-farm data surprises to the downside—employment growth far below expectations, a spike in unemployment rate, and a slowdown in wage increases—this outlook is unlikely to change.
What if such an "extreme deterioration" occurs? That would be interesting. The market would immediately shift from the pessimistic expectation of "interest rate suppression" to an optimistic outlook of "rate cuts on the horizon," allowing $BTC, $ETH , and other risk assets to breathe, and possibly even experience a rebound.
But if the non-farm data performs in line with expectations, with no big surprises, it will be difficult to trigger a trend. The Federal Reserve will likely continue on its current path, and cryptocurrencies will probably remain within the existing range, with no obvious turning point.
The key is whether this employment report can break market expectations. $ETH $BNB Traders are now eagerly awaiting the results.
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ImpermanentPhobia
· 01-12 05:56
80% staying put? Then I'll bet the remaining 20% will surprise everyone, or else it would be too boring.
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HalfIsEmpty
· 01-09 11:22
How high is the chance of an upset? It feels like we're going to be repeatedly washed within the range again.
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PessimisticOracle
· 01-09 09:34
80% chance of not moving? Then I'll bet on the other 20% to surprise everyone, with the non-farm payroll directly giving a shock.
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SighingCashier
· 01-09 09:30
Non-farm payrolls surprise? Dream on, an 80% chance of staying put is the norm, alright?
Betting on a non-farm rebound is just gambler's psychology; playing it safe is the most frustrating.
Listen, it's the same old story of anticipation, every time, and in the end, it's just oscillation out.
Unless there's a truly extreme deterioration, don't expect BTC to make any big moves.
Will this turn out to be another false alarm?
Interest rate cuts are still far off, and contract positions are about to be wiped out again.
View OriginalReply0
MidnightSeller
· 01-09 09:20
Honestly, the probability of an upset is too low. We have to wait for the non-farm disappointment to break even. This life just goes on and on.
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TooScaredToSell
· 01-09 09:19
Wait, only a surprising non-farm payroll report can save us? I think we're in trouble; the US employment situation isn't that fragile.
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Frontrunner
· 01-09 09:18
Only by pulling off an upset can there be a show; otherwise, let's just keep holding onto our positions.
#密码资产动态追踪 US Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released tonight at 21:30. Will it shake the Federal Reserve's interest rate plans this time?
Currently, the market generally believes there is over an 80% chance that the January FOMC will hold steady. Unless the non-farm data surprises to the downside—employment growth far below expectations, a spike in unemployment rate, and a slowdown in wage increases—this outlook is unlikely to change.
What if such an "extreme deterioration" occurs? That would be interesting. The market would immediately shift from the pessimistic expectation of "interest rate suppression" to an optimistic outlook of "rate cuts on the horizon," allowing $BTC, $ETH , and other risk assets to breathe, and possibly even experience a rebound.
But if the non-farm data performs in line with expectations, with no big surprises, it will be difficult to trigger a trend. The Federal Reserve will likely continue on its current path, and cryptocurrencies will probably remain within the existing range, with no obvious turning point.
The key is whether this employment report can break market expectations. $ETH $BNB Traders are now eagerly awaiting the results.