Expected pre-launch FDV

Base is likely to be one of the most anticipated projects of this year.

It can be said to be currently the only L2 token truly used at scale, with a mature ecosystem and an active organic user base.

On @Polymarket, a pricing market for FDV appeared just one day after the launch of Base.

Market sentiment is extremely optimistic—most traders expect FDV to exceed $8 billion.

The final outcome largely depends on the tokenomics, distribution methods, and broader market conditions, so it’s best to wait for further updates.

Personally, I usually bet “No” in such markets, so I chose options betting on FDV < $10 billion and < $12 billion.

Base may ultimately conduct one of the largest airdrops, which is likely to trigger significant selling pressure right at launch.

Additionally, there’s no guarantee that Base will launch this year.

If it still hasn’t launched by 2026, all options in this market will be judged as “No.”

Therefore, in my opinion, betting “No” remains the better choice.

nfa dyor

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