Building on the strong performance of the stock market last year, major global investment institutions are generally optimistic about this year's market outlook. It is forecasted that the global stock market return over the next 12 months could reach 11% (including dividends, in USD).



Although current valuations are already at historic highs, these predictions are still based on a core support—global corporate earnings will continue to grow, and the economic expansion momentum will remain strong. The Federal Reserve also expects to maintain a moderately accommodative policy, providing a favorable liquidity environment for the stock market.

Last year, investors benefited significantly from cross-regional allocations, and this diversified strategy may continue to be effective this year. Rotational allocations between different investment styles and sectors are also expected to further boost overall returns.

Market analysts point out that in the current macro environment, as long as there is no recession, the probability of a significant correction or bear market remains relatively low, even with high valuations. Economies across various regions worldwide are expected to maintain growth momentum, laying a foundation for the continued rise of the stock market. However, it is worth noting that this year's gains are expected to be more moderate than last year's, given that last year's increase was already quite substantial.
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SignatureVerifiervip
· 11h ago
nah hold up, they're basically saying "don't worry, nothing bad will happen" as if recessions don't exist... technically speaking, that's insufficient validation of their core thesis
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liquidation_watchervip
· 11h ago
It's that same saying again, "As long as there's no recession, everything's fine." Just listen and don't take it seriously. Still daring to shout 11% at high valuations—these institutions are probably overthinking it. Talking about diversification every day, but isn't it just betting on the Federal Reserve's easing?
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CodeSmellHuntervip
· 11h ago
Is this the same old spiel again? As long as the economy doesn't recession, everything's fine? Haha Still claiming the bear market probability is low at all-time highs, how optimistic can you be? 11% return? I feel like this number is just like last year's promise. Wait, has the Federal Reserve's easing policy been confirmed? Why is it still "expected"? Is diversification effective? The problem is you need capital in multiple regions, haha. Last year’s surge was so strong, just a mild correction this year counts as a win? Our standards are different. This article didn't mention any risks. If it's really so stable, why are people still losing money?
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