If President Trump **loses** the Supreme Court case on his sweeping IEEPA tariffs today (Jan 14, 2026), markets could swing hard (no full crash) likely, but expect volatility spikes.

Polymarket odds sit ~70-78% for a ruling against, meaning tariffs get struck down → refunds of ~$130-200B hit the Treasury, fiscal hole opens, bond yields could jump on deficit fears (hurting stocks short-term), but importers/retail (think cheaper goods) rally.

Many analysts say any dip would be short-lived—Trump admin would likely pivot to other tariff tools fast, so net effect muted.

If SCOTUS axes Trump's monster tariffs? Expect choppy waters & quick dip, not Armageddon. 🇺🇸 #Tariffs #SCOTUS 🚀