2026-01-14 11:26:34

The Supreme Court's ruling on the tariff case is expected to be announced tonight at 11 PM, which has been a recent focus of market attention.

From a probability perspective, the support for this tariff case is currently only 29%, indicating that there is still considerable uncertainty regarding the policy direction. If the ruling is in favor, the risk amplification effect will be significantly magnified — it will not only increase market volatility expectations but also trigger a series of chain reactions.

Personally, I lean towards the belief that the ruling may be delayed. If the final policy is approved, the government will need to refund approximately $150 billion to importers and businesses. This massive expenditure will be directly drawn from the Treasury Department's account, which will have profound impacts on macroeconomics and asset allocation. Capital flows, market sentiment, and trading strategies will all need to be readjusted. Keep an eye on how this ruling will specifically impact liquidity and risk premiums in the crypto market.

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probably_nothing_anon

· 7h ago

29% chance? Basically, it's gambler's mentality, just waiting to watch the show tonight. When $150 billion comes out, I'll go all-in on short positions... No, I haven't done anything, just watching the excitement. The possibility of delay is even greater, it's just a political game. In the crypto space, it all depends on how dollar liquidity changes; everything else is just floating clouds. NGL, at this point, those holding positions are probably losing sleep. Buy some stablecoins before the verdict to prepare for a bottom? Or cash out and run... struggling with choice paralysis. It feels like the market has already priced in this, and reverse operations are the way to make money.

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LiquidationTherapist

· 7h ago

A 29% probability... This is obviously a casino. See the result at 11 PM tonight. I'll go all-in on a short position. $150 billion refund? Can the Treasury's account handle it? Will they have to print more money then? The possibility of delay is indeed high, but if it really passes, crypto liquidity will explode. At that point, should players run or buy the dip? Who the hell knows? Once the tariff case moves, the entire asset allocation will need to be reshuffled. I don't care about anything else; just watch whether the crypto market will be bloodbathed. This kind of uncertainty is what I find most appealing. The bigger the volatility, the more profit opportunities there are. Just wonder who dares to take the opposite position tonight.

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HodlVeteran

· 7h ago

It's another Schrödinger's ruling, with a 29% probability that it's just saying "Everyone, treat it as a movie tonight." I was played like this by tariffs cases back in the day; I went all-in twice and still didn't get it right...

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TrustMeBro

· 7h ago

29% pass rate? Sis, that's just ridiculous. If it's not gambling, then what is it? 150 billion USD poured in all at once. How many pools would it take to absorb that? Postponed? I bet it will really be postponed. Anyway, it always drags on like this. Let's wait and see how much crypto will drop this time. Liquidity will disappear instantly. I have to stay up at 11 PM. No sleep tonight.

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AirdropF5Bro

· 7h ago

See the truth at 11 o'clock, a $150 billion hole—how much must this hurt the finances? --- A 29% chance, in other words a 50-50 shot, tonight is likely to be a volatile session. --- Postponement is quite likely; after all, big cases like this tend to drag on. --- If tariffs are approved, crypto will immediately suffer, and liquidity is about to change dramatically. --- If they really have to pay $150 billion, where will the funds be diverted from? This chain reaction is quite intense. --- Let's wait and see—another "far-reaching" verdict, the market will be scrambling to adjust positions. --- As expected, reallocation will be necessary again. When will this day end?

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