Lately I've been leaning on prediction markets to get a better read on when projects might actually launch. The data can be pretty revealing.

Taking a recent example from Limitless prediction market: there's roughly a 22% probability of a TGE hitting before the end of February. Push that window out to March 31st and you're looking at 77% odds. By April 30th, confidence climbs to 84%.

What this basically tells you is the market is pricing in a 2-3 month runway before things really kick off. That's meaningful signal if you're trying to time your positioning around a launch event. These markets tend to aggregate pretty solid insights since real money's on the line—people aren't just guessing, they're putting capital behind their conviction.