Starting from 9:30 PM, a series of US economic data releases will hit the market, each capable of stirring the crypto world. This is not an alarmist statement; these few hours could determine the upcoming market rhythm.
**Today's main events are here**
21:30 → US November Retail Sales MoM and PPI data 23:00 → US December Existing Home Sales 23:30 → US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending January 9 00:00 → EIA Monthly Energy Outlook 01:45 AM → Trump speech + The Supreme Court may announce a ruling on Trump's tariff policies (time to be determined)
**The logic behind the data**
PPI is the early warning signal. The market expects November PPI YoY at 2.7%. If the actual number is lower, it indicates inflation is truly cooling down, which is positive for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH. Conversely, strong data means less room for rate cuts.
EIA crude oil inventories amplify market sentiment. A sharp drop of 3.832 million barrels in the past two weeks pushed oil prices higher; tonight, a further decrease of 1.702 million barrels is expected. If inventories fall significantly, it will reinforce inflation concerns; if inventories increase, pressure may ease.
Trump's speech and the Supreme Court's tariff ruling are uncertain. These two events directly impact the dollar's credibility story, and any unexpected comments could trigger risk-off sentiment.
**In simple terms**
Moderate inflation data → Rebound in rate cut expectations → Friendly to assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum Strong inflation data → Market pressure → Rise in risk aversion
Plus, Trump's actions could lead to a re-pricing of the dollar and risk assets.
**Your trading advice**
Tonight is a night of high volatility, with fast-paced movements and emotional swings: 1. Reduce leverage appropriately; be cautious around key data releases 2. Watch the real-time reactions of BTC and ETH, as they best reflect market pricing of the data 3. Stay alert overnight; Trump's speech may cause further waves
Whether it's bullish or bearish depends on how the market interprets these data in the next few hours.
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BoredStaker
· 5h ago
Damn, I'm not sleeping tonight. Who can withstand this data bombardment?
View OriginalReply0
SleepyValidator
· 5h ago
Staying up until dawn has become the norm. Tonight, I bet on inflation cooling down🫡
View OriginalReply0
MetaLord420
· 5h ago
It's all a trick; whether the data is reliable or not is uncertain. Trump's speech is the real ace.
#Strategy加仓BTC The market is about to turn tonight 💥
Starting from 9:30 PM, a series of US economic data releases will hit the market, each capable of stirring the crypto world. This is not an alarmist statement; these few hours could determine the upcoming market rhythm.
**Today's main events are here**
21:30 → US November Retail Sales MoM and PPI data
23:00 → US December Existing Home Sales
23:30 → US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the week ending January 9
00:00 → EIA Monthly Energy Outlook
01:45 AM → Trump speech
+ The Supreme Court may announce a ruling on Trump's tariff policies (time to be determined)
**The logic behind the data**
PPI is the early warning signal. The market expects November PPI YoY at 2.7%. If the actual number is lower, it indicates inflation is truly cooling down, which is positive for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH. Conversely, strong data means less room for rate cuts.
EIA crude oil inventories amplify market sentiment. A sharp drop of 3.832 million barrels in the past two weeks pushed oil prices higher; tonight, a further decrease of 1.702 million barrels is expected. If inventories fall significantly, it will reinforce inflation concerns; if inventories increase, pressure may ease.
Trump's speech and the Supreme Court's tariff ruling are uncertain. These two events directly impact the dollar's credibility story, and any unexpected comments could trigger risk-off sentiment.
**In simple terms**
Moderate inflation data → Rebound in rate cut expectations → Friendly to assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum
Strong inflation data → Market pressure → Rise in risk aversion
Plus, Trump's actions could lead to a re-pricing of the dollar and risk assets.
**Your trading advice**
Tonight is a night of high volatility, with fast-paced movements and emotional swings:
1. Reduce leverage appropriately; be cautious around key data releases
2. Watch the real-time reactions of BTC and ETH, as they best reflect market pricing of the data
3. Stay alert overnight; Trump's speech may cause further waves
Whether it's bullish or bearish depends on how the market interprets these data in the next few hours.