2026-01-14 12:29:15

Recently, Bitcoin has performed strongly, with a daily increase of 3.54%, breaking through the $92,000 mark and reversing market sentiment. The driving force behind this rally is worth a detailed analysis—the most direct catalyst comes from the release of the December US CPI data.

The latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the December CPI increased by 2.7% year-on-year, remaining flat compared to the previous month and in line with market expectations. Behind this seemingly ordinary data, it actually conveys a core signal: inflation is operating within a controllable range. This is highly significant for risk assets. The market's greatest fear has never been the absolute level of inflation, but rather unexpected volatility. If the data rebounds, the Fed's rate hike expectations will reignite, putting risk assets under pressure; if it drops sharply, concerns about an economic recession will surface, leading to capital withdrawal. The 2.7% figure precisely eliminates extreme expectations on both ends.

Based on this data, the market has already priced in a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January. This certainty directly breaks previous concerns about monetary tightening, and liquidity support in a low-interest-rate environment reemerges. Whether traditional risk assets or cryptocurrencies, they are beginning to reassess their allocation value. Bitcoin's recent rally is a concrete reflection of capital flowing back into assets that benefit from low interest rates.

BTC4,71%

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AirdropFreedom

· 4h ago

92,000 already, with CPI so stable, the Fed should really take a break, right? --- Finally no need to worry about rate hikes, in a low-interest-rate environment, Bitcoin should go up. --- 2.7% is tightly capped; the market's biggest fear is this kind of expectation gap, now it's gone. --- Liquidity has indeed returned; funds are looking for new places. --- Controllable inflation is the key, everything else is just clouds. --- 97% pricing is a bit harsh; the Fed probably won't dare to move in January, haha. --- This wave of market movement is basically a sigh of relief. --- Can Bitcoin still fall in a low-interest-rate era? Just kidding. --- The key isn't how much inflation there is, but that it hasn't exceeded expectations—that's the real point. --- Funds are reassessing allocations; is the crypto spring coming?

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UncleWhale

· 4h ago

92000, this key level, has finally been broken. It was about time. A stable CPI is a good sign; there's nothing too surprising. With such high certainty that the Federal Reserve won't raise interest rates, I think BTC is just getting started. This wave of liquidity returning is really obvious; funds are looking for low-risk, high-yield assets. The 2.7% level is actually quite comfortable, not too extreme on either side.

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SchrodingerGas

· 4h ago

2.7% this position is indeed a perfect Nash equilibrium point, with both sides fully blocked. CPI holding steady = market expectations successfully anchored, and the liquidity story begins anew. 97% pricing already says everything; this is the fading of arbitrage under the rational expectations framework. Wait, why do I feel like this logic is the same as the script from December last year... Can on-chain trading volume confirm this wave of capital inflow? Or is it just the futures market hyping itself up again.

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EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 4h ago

Is the 2.7% figure really that magical? I think the market is overreacting. Let's wait and see. Looking at historical data, CPI stability is just surface level; the underlying liquidity is the real determinant. The opportunity for T trading has arrived. 97% of the pricing seems a bit suspicious... Can the Federal Reserve predict this accurately? Let's wait for the next surprise. How will the market move after breaking below 92,000? Technical analysis can't provide an answer; it all depends on macroeconomic momentum. Another wave of retail investor gains—are low interest rates really the universal remedy? Quantitative models show: this rally has momentum to continue, but risks are clearly building up. The bottoming pattern is indeed good, but don’t get carried away by short-term emotions. Cycle rotation is the key. Can 2.7% alone turn the market around? There must be other funds pushing the market behind the scenes. The timing to get in was good, but I still need to see how the volume behaves around 92,000. Is stable inflation data an opportunity? Not necessarily; recession expectations can also suppress risk assets.

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YieldWhisperer

· 4h ago

92k is not a dream, the CPI move is indeed powerful, finally no longer having to watch prices fall every day --- It's the Federal Reserve's show again, low-interest environmentalists are ecstatic --- 2.7% is tightly held, this kind of uncertainty is what the market fears most --- Liquidity reappearing? Let's wait and see, how long this rebound can last is still a question --- Is breaking through 92k real, or have I been caught again --- If CPI stabilizes, Bitcoin will stabilize too, this logic is a bit too simple --- In a low-interest-rate environment, crypto assets are regaining favor, I've seen this trend coming a long time ago --- Risk assets are partying hard, I just want to know if the Federal Reserve will cause trouble again next time --- Putting aside the value of allocation and such, I just want to ask when it can reach ten thousand again --- It looks like a rebound, but it feels like a trap, this is the crypto world

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