2026-01-15 13:27:23

Looking at the trading volume data of the BASE chain, you can basically get a good sense of retail investors' psychological changes.

Reflecting on April 2025, during that period, the BASE chain went from being extremely popular to completely cold and ignored. It looked quite hopeless at the time. But what happened? Looking back now, that wave in April actually became the absolute bottom of the year. What does this indicate? It shows that the times of lowest popularity are often the best opportunities.

By November, history is repeating itself. Trading volume drops sharply again, users lose enthusiasm entirely, market participation hits rock bottom, and many people simply lie flat and do nothing. This signal is very interesting—if there is no deeper decline afterward, December is very likely the starting point of the next upward wave.

But the current situation is indeed very complicated. Some data point to a bear market, while other data hint that the bull market continues. The market is like being torn apart by two forces, and no one can be sure which way it will go next. Instead of guessing blindly, it’s better to observe and wait.

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degenonymous

· 2h ago

I really didn't dare to act during that wave at the end of April. I still regret it when I think about it now. It's true that history repeats itself, but this time I learned my lesson—lying flat is the real way.

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MaticHoleFiller

· 7h ago

People who relaxed at the end of April earned the most, and now they're starting to relax again. This pattern is truly incredible.

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FromMinerToFarmer

· 7h ago

That wave at the end of April almost made me run away. Now it looks like a free opportunity. The pace in November feels just like back then; we'll see how December goes.

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rugdoc.eth

· 7h ago

By the end of April, the pants were almost gone, and now in November... it feels a bit like deja vu, history really is repeating itself.

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FlippedSignal

· 7h ago

April was really a time of blood red deficits. Looking back now, it was a gift of an opportunity... History tends to repeat itself. The chill in November is a bit like April, but who the hell knows if December will continue to drop. Data is conflicting, and I’m confused... I’d better hold on for now. Wait, if retail investors are all lying flat, is that a sign of the bottom? Then I need to reflect on whether I should also get in.

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MidnightSnapHunter

· 7h ago

The wave in April was really fierce. I thought it was completely over at the time, but it turned out to be the bottom in a flash. Now in November, the situation looks a bit like that—let's see if we can replicate this pattern. --- Is the market being torn apart by two forces? That’s right. Who can be sure? Instead of guessing blindly, it’s better to wait and see. Anyway, there’s no rush. --- The least popular = the best opportunity. Sounds right, but actually executing it is really difficult. The silence in November is indeed spot on—let’s bet on December. --- I was also involved during the BASE period, feeling truly desperate and wanting to lie flat. Looking back now, not cutting losses back then was actually the right decision. History repeats itself, so let’s wait a bit longer. --- Are there signals for both a bear market and a bull market? The market really messes with people’s mentality. But on the other hand, this chaotic period is actually a big opportunity. --- November was freezing cold, trading volume hit rock bottom. At this point, maybe it’s time to add to positions. But it depends on whether there will be a deeper decline later—that’s the key. --- Bottomed in April, coming back in November? Feels like I’ve seen this pattern before—just the execution is too difficult, most people simply can’t hold on.

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