#比特币2026年行情展望 $BTC $ETH

January 16th was quite interesting for Bitcoin and Ethereum — after a strong rally in the past few days, today clearly entered a phase of consolidation and fluctuation. Both bulls and bears are fighting hard at this level, and market sentiment is also fluctuating accordingly.

**Market Situation**

Bitcoin is fluctuating around $96,000, pulling back from yesterday’s high. The most noteworthy development at this moment is the latest progress on the U.S. Digital Asset Market Clarity Act — after the draft was released, it was put on hold due to opposition from industry insiders, affecting short-term optimistic expectations. Additionally, the flow of funds into spot ETFs has become a key focus; a large amount of money entered yesterday, and today’s movement depends on upcoming developments.

**Bullish Perspectives**

On the technical side, Bitcoin successfully broke through the $95,000 barrier previously, establishing a higher support structure, which is a positive signal. The macro environment is also favorable — U.S. inflation data is cooling, and the window for further rate cuts has opened, which is good news for risk assets. From a capital perspective, continuous net inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs indicate that institutions are quietly accumulating, providing strong support for a bullish outlook.

**Cautious Views**

From a technical standpoint, a correction after rapidly rising from $95,000 to $97,000 is normal — a natural profit-taking reaction. Expectations of regulation have cooled due to the delay in the bill’s review, making the outlook less optimistic. Some analysts also mention that the four-year cycle pattern of Bitcoin may have been broken, so the next 3-6 months require extra caution.

**Key Levels**

If the upward momentum continues, watch for breakthroughs at $97,000 (recent high) and $100,000 (psychological milestone). On the downside, $95,000 is the main support, followed by the $94,000–$94,500 range (previous breakout point and order cluster). If these are broken, around $91,400 (200-day moving average) is the last line of defense.