Will Bitcoin usher in a new wave of growth as the Federal Reserve's policy shifts in 2026?
Inflation data has already softened. Core CPI has fallen to 2.6%, further releasing the Fed's policy tightening space. According to the usual pace, a combination of rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE) in the first quarter of 2026 is highly likely—once liquidity is released, funds will seek places to go, and alternative assets like Bitcoin are hard to ignore.
Institutional actions are worth watching. By the end of 2025, ETFs indeed saw some funds withdraw, but look at the moves of major players like MicroStrategy—adding 11,000 Bitcoins at the beginning of the year, spending nearly $1.1 billion. While short-term retail investors panic-sell, institutions are quietly accumulating, and this divergence often indicates that the price has reached its true value range.
On-chain data is also quite interesting. Some indicators seem a bit weak, but key models like the dynamic NVT suggest a clear signal—Bitcoin is already in a stage of historical undervaluation, similar to the accumulation phase before every bull-bear cycle switch in the past. Short-term holders have mostly cut losses and exited, creating a golden window for long-term capital.
Historical data shows that Bitcoin's average return in Q1 each year exceeds 50%, usually accompanied by a corrective rebound. Coupled with the Fed's policy shift and ongoing institutional accumulation, the Bitcoin market in early 2026 may be gathering strength.
In simple terms, macro policy is turning, large funds are preparing, and on-chain value signals are flashing green—once these three factors resonate together, Bitcoin in 2026 is very likely to stand at the beginning of a new cycle.
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MemeCurator
· 11h ago
Institutions are quietly making huge profits, while retail investors are still taking losses? How many rounds has this game been played?
MicroStrategy has invested an additional $1.1 billion, which is quite a significant move. Let's wait and see if they can catch the next wave.
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ColdWalletAnxiety
· 11h ago
Retail investors cutting losses really make me laugh, institutions are quietly eating up the gains there
MicroStrategy's move is definitely telling us that the bottom is here
When CPI drops, QE should come, where is the liquidity flowing to?
Historical data shows an average 50% return in Q1, will it be the same this time?
On-chain signals are all green, why are some still panic selling? Truly incomprehensible
Wait, if the NVT model is so optimistic, how do we explain those previously failed indicators?
Large funds, policies, and on-chain data are all firing on all cylinders, it feels like the moment has truly arrived
Bitcoin is in the process of forming a bottom, I pick this as the rhythm for institutions adding positions
When inflation softens, the Fed will have to loosen monetary policy, this logic can't be broken
In the short term, it still depends on when retail investors start to bottom fish; the real reversal begins from here
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ThatsNotARugPull
· 11h ago
Institutions are quietly buying, retail investors are panicking and selling. This trick happens every year.
MicroStrategy spends $1.1 billion to buy more, this tactic is truly brilliant...
Q1 historical average return of 50%? No more words, I need to review my stop-loss orders.
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NightAirdropper
· 11h ago
Institutions are silently eating up, retail investors are cutting losses. I've seen this combination many times before.
Uh, retail investors are always the last person to take the baton...
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GetRichLeek
· 11h ago
Wait, MicroStrategy has been accumulating 11,000 coins since the beginning of the year? Why am I only seeing this now... Once again, a classic case of a latecomer laughing at themselves in the scene
Honestly, I believe the phrase "on-chain data flashing green lights." The last time I believed it, I also caught the top and suffered a huge loss. I still haven't recovered from that memory
Q1 average return rate over 50%? Brother, you're right, I just don't know if I can hold on to my position this time. Feeling FOMO again
Institutions are accumulating, retail investors are selling off, a classic divergence... This is textbook-level buy signal, yet my wallet is empty
The Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates? Then what about the positions I shorted before? Fine, admit defeat, and prepare for a corrective rebound in Q1
View OriginalReply0
ShamedApeSeller
· 11h ago
Institutions are eating the meat, retail investors are getting slaughtered. This script is always the same every time.
#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 $DASH $ZEC $ZEN
Will Bitcoin usher in a new wave of growth as the Federal Reserve's policy shifts in 2026?
Inflation data has already softened. Core CPI has fallen to 2.6%, further releasing the Fed's policy tightening space. According to the usual pace, a combination of rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE) in the first quarter of 2026 is highly likely—once liquidity is released, funds will seek places to go, and alternative assets like Bitcoin are hard to ignore.
Institutional actions are worth watching. By the end of 2025, ETFs indeed saw some funds withdraw, but look at the moves of major players like MicroStrategy—adding 11,000 Bitcoins at the beginning of the year, spending nearly $1.1 billion. While short-term retail investors panic-sell, institutions are quietly accumulating, and this divergence often indicates that the price has reached its true value range.
On-chain data is also quite interesting. Some indicators seem a bit weak, but key models like the dynamic NVT suggest a clear signal—Bitcoin is already in a stage of historical undervaluation, similar to the accumulation phase before every bull-bear cycle switch in the past. Short-term holders have mostly cut losses and exited, creating a golden window for long-term capital.
Historical data shows that Bitcoin's average return in Q1 each year exceeds 50%, usually accompanied by a corrective rebound. Coupled with the Fed's policy shift and ongoing institutional accumulation, the Bitcoin market in early 2026 may be gathering strength.
In simple terms, macro policy is turning, large funds are preparing, and on-chain value signals are flashing green—once these three factors resonate together, Bitcoin in 2026 is very likely to stand at the beginning of a new cycle.