Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, January 16, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends☀Iron fans check-in👍Like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹

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U.S. stocks closed Thursday with modest gains. The three major indices edged higher, with large financial stocks leading the rally. The Dow initially rose 0.6%, the S&P 500 increased 0.26%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.25%. According to CME “FedWatch”: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, with a 95% chance of holding rates steady. By March, the chance of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 20.8%, with a 78.4% chance of no change, and a 0.9% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Focus will remain on Yibo’s ongoing tracking of core signals such as Fed policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, with real-time updates on layout strategies and target asset dynamics.
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Bitcoin showed wide-range fluctuations yesterday. After spiking early morning, the price pulled back. However, the strong support at the 95,000 level prevented further decline, and the short-term downtrend has halted. On the daily chart, the midline is a key dividing line for bullish momentum. Currently, this level still provides strong support, and the overall market remains in a consolidation and adjustment trend. It’s important to note that the short-term pullback is a normal correction after the previous rally, as the price needs time to digest profit-taking and repair technical indicators. Although the pace may be characterized by slow, sideways growth, the bullish structure remains intact. Switching to the four-hour chart, the price previously pulled back from the upper Bollinger Band, stopping above the midline. The downtrend has not continued; instead, a rapid rebound occurred. Currently, the four-hour moving averages are scattered and diverging, indicating that short-term consolidation and correction are likely to persist. Notably, this decline did not reach the four-hour midline support, and the rebound was swift and strong, confirming that bullish momentum remains sufficient. Trading strategy: continue to favor long positions on dips, relying on the 95,000 key support and the daily and four-hour midline supports to set up longs. Watch for previous high resistance levels during sideways movements, and manage positions with light sizing during consolidation.
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Ethereum’s overall trend closely follows Bitcoin, exhibiting a nearly identical wide-range consolidation pattern. Yesterday, the price peaked at around 3385 and dipped to a low of 3269. The EMA trend indicator shows continuous contraction. Currently, after a rapid rally with consecutive bullish candles, the price has not undergone a deep retracement but has shifted into a high-level sideways consolidation with alternating bullish and bearish candles. This pattern indicates a strong technical correction demand in the market and also sends a clear signal: bullish momentum remains dominant, with a stable upward structure. After the technical correction cycle ends, there is room for an upward breakout. On the short-term hourly chart, the price shows a pattern of sideways consolidation with gradual upward movement, step by step. Although there has been some retracement and the price temporarily dipped below the hourly Bollinger midline, the overall upward trend remains intact, and no effective breakdown has occurred during the correction. Trading strategy: maintain a bullish outlook for short-term operations, supporting longs around 3260-3280, with attention to resistance zones at 3370-3385. During sideways movements, consider light positions and add on breakouts.