Technical View on Altcoins: Ethereum and XRP Decline as Downward Pressure Intensifies


Ethereum's price stabilizes between the 100-day Exponential Moving Average support at $3290 and the 200-day EMA resistance at $3339. Sellers largely dominate the market, as evidenced by the RSI dropping to 62 and remaining at this level.

A close below the 100-day EMA support could accelerate losses toward the 50-day EMA support at $3154. The downward trendline from the all-time high of $4956 is also poised to absorb the increase in supply.

However, the MACD indicator on the same chart continues to signal a buy since January 1. The histogram bars are expected to expand above the zero line to confirm the short-term bullish outlook for ETH. A breakout above the 200-day EMA resistance paves the way for an extended bullish trend toward $3447, tested on December 10, and $3658, tested on November 10.

Daily ETH/USDT Chart

As for XRP, its price is currently trading below the 50-day EMA, forming a resistance level at $2.08 at the time of writing on Friday. The RSI has fallen to 51 on the daily chart, indicating a slowdown in bullish momentum and contributing to the price decline.

The RSI's continuous decline below the midline suggests a shift in the overall outlook from positive to negative, which could lead to accelerated losses below the key $2.00 level. XRP may target its January low of $1.82 and its April low of $1.61.

Daily XRP/USDT Chart

The MACD remains slightly below the signal line, which may encourage risk aversion and accelerated decline.

Nevertheless, a decisive breakout above the 50-day EMA at $2.08 is still necessary to confirm a short-term bullish reversal for XRP. Traders expect further resistance at the 100-day EMA at $2.20, the downward trendline, and the 200-day EMA at $2.32.
ETH-0,17%
XRP0,19%
View Original
post-image
Before00zerovip
- Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP face difficulties as retail investor demand declines:
Bitcoin experienced one of its strongest weeks in recent months, reaching a record high of $97,924 on Wednesday. However, this bullish trend, driven by optimism about the U.S. core inflation rate falling below expectations, paused temporarily, forcing Bitcoin to seek support at the $95,000 level.

Despite steady institutional demand through spot ETFs(, which reached a cumulative weekly inflow of $1.81 billion on Thursday, retail interest remains low.

Data from CoinGlass shows that the average open interest )OI( on the Bitcoin exchange was $63 billion on Friday, down from $64 billion on Thursday and $66 billion on Wednesday. This ongoing decline indicates a loss of confidence among investors in short-term positive Bitcoin outlooks, which could weaken the momentum needed to push prices higher.

Open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts | Source: CoinGlass

Ethereum also faces a continuous decline in futures demand on exchanges, as evidenced by the open interest )OI(, representing the notional value of outstanding futures contracts. The average open interest was $41.27 billion on Friday, down from $41.41 billion on Thursday.

Open interest in Ethereum futures contracts | Source: CoinGlass

Meanwhile, demand for XRP derivatives has steadily decreased, reaching $3.94 billion on Friday, down from $3.98 billion the previous day. The open interest peaked at $4.55 billion on January 8, coinciding with XRP's price rising to $2.42. Further declines in open interest could lead to lower prices.

Open interest in XRP futures contracts
repost-content-media
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
Before00zerovip
· 1h ago
Ethereum is trading within a narrow range between the 100-day Exponential Moving Average support level and the 200-day Exponential Moving Average resistance level. The price of XRP declined slightly for the third consecutive day, driven by ongoing weakness in the derivatives market.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)