#BTC行情分析 Bitcoin is currently in the mid-term adjustment phase of a technical bear market, with the following characteristics:

1. Extremely weak technicals: a full-cycle resonance sell signal, with bearish forces holding a decisive advantage
2. Key support levels broken: the $90,000 level has been effectively breached, with a high probability of dropping to $85,000
3. Trading volume continues to shrink: market sentiment is cautious, lacking large capital inflows
4. Risk aversion dominates: USDT trading volume far exceeds that of risk assets, with significant funds flowing into stablecoins
5. Relative strength remains: showing stronger resistance compared to altcoins like Ethereum

Future trend outlook
Short-term ( 1-2 weeks ): High probability of further decline; no signs of technical improvement; the $85,000 support will be tested; a technical rebound may occur but with limited strength
Medium-term ( 1-3 months ): The bottoming process may involve wide fluctuations within the $75,000-$90,000 range; time is needed to digest selling pressure; repairing technical indicators and expanding trading volume are key signals for trend reversal
Long-term ( 6-12 months ): Value reversion; from a historical cycle perspective, deep adjustments often lead to a new rally; the long-term bullish logic (halving cycles, institutional adoption) remains unchanged; patient investors holding quality assets are expected to achieve substantial returns.

Final recommendations
For different types of investors:
Conservative investors: stay on the sidelines, wait for clear trend reversal signals
Moderate investors: gradually build positions below $80,000, controlling total exposure within 30%
Aggressive investors: start scaling in below $85,000, but with strict stop-loss measures
Value investors: view the current correction as a buying opportunity, adopt dollar-cost averaging strategies
Most importantly for long-term holding: do not try to bottom-tick; wait for clear market signals; strictly control positions and risks; protecting principal is the top priority; stay rational and patient—opportunities always favor those who are prepared
Cryptocurrency investing involves high risk and high returns; only invest with disposable funds; never use leverage!!!
The market is always right; follow the trend to survive long-term. In the current environment, risk control is more important than chasing returns!