XRP and the lucky number: 173 days that could change the game 🎰

Can there really be a pattern that repeats almost perfectly in the cryptocurrency market? This is the lucky number that XRP analysts can’t stop mentioning: 173 days. That’s right, this seemingly arbitrary number could be the key to understanding what is happening with the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at the moment.

The analyst known as “Bird” has identified a surprising similarity between what is happening now with XRP and what occurred during the 2025 expansion. On that occasion, it took exactly 173 days to break the all-time high after forming a technical pattern known to experts as a “descending wedge.” From the peak recorded in July 2025 until now, exactly the same 173 days have passed. It is this parallel that has raised alarms among technical traders.

The 173-day cycle that repeats in XRP

What’s remarkable is that, despite considerable selling pressure that could have broken the technical structure, XRP remains relatively solid. It is currently trading near $1.57, consolidating within an increasingly narrow range. Imagine a compressed spring with force: the less space available, the more powerful the expansion will be when finally released.

This scenario precisely describes the current state of the chart: we are in a late compression phase. Technical experts interpret these sideways movements as an accumulation of energy before a significant move.

Wedge-shaped compression: Patience before the breakout

The technical pattern containing XRP functions as a container that progressively gets smaller. The trading volume hovers around $142.60 million in the last 24 hours, a figure lower compared to previous cycles where it reached $1.800 billion. However, experts point out that this decrease in volume does not invalidate the observed chart structure.

Technical history suggests that when the breakout finally occurs, the move could be significant. The lucky number of 173 days has traditionally marked the moment when XRP leaves its consolidation phase.

Price targets: What are the key levels?

If the scenario based on the 173-day pattern is replicated, the immediate target is between $4 and $4.50, representing a potential increase of approximately 155% to 187% from the current levels of $1.57. This target aligns with technical analysis of similar patterns observed in previous cycles.

However, some analysts like “Steph is Crypto” dare to compare this moment to the iconic year 2017. If that massive breakout scenario were to be replicated, the levels could extend well beyond $4.50. In that more extreme hypothetical case, the projection could reach levels close to $22, although this figure should be considered as a maximum bullish scenario, not a realistic prediction.

A different volume, but a similar structure

It is true that the current context presents differences compared to previous cycles. The volume of $142.60 million in 24 hours contrasts with the levels above $1.800 billion recorded in past expansions. This factor could mean that the move will be gradual rather than explosive.

Nevertheless, the chart structure maintains a remarkable similarity to moments prior to major bullish movements. The lucky number of 173 days could still be relevant, suggesting that XRP might be accumulating momentum during this period of apparent calm.

Will history repeat itself with XRP after these 173 days, or will the market surprise again with an unexpected turn? Technical analysts will continue to monitor this critical level as the lucky number keeps setting the pace.