📅 2026-02-13 BTC Technical Analysis + Strategy (As of Noon)

Current Price: Approximately $66,400, Bearish dominance, Oversold weak rebound, Decreasing volume

📉 Daily Chart Level (Trend Judgment)

- Moving Averages: Price below 5/10/20/50-day moving averages, moving averages diverging downward, clear bearish trend
- RSI: About 30, approaching oversold, rebound needed but not reversed
- MACD: Below zero line, green bars expanding, selling pressure remains
- Structure: Continuing Lower High / Lower Low, no clear sign of bottoming
- Volume: Shrinking during rebound, bullish momentum insufficient

⏱ 4-hour / Hourly Level (Short-term Rhythm)

- Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, rebound constrained by middle band (around $67,500)
- 4-hour RSI: Turning at low levels, oversold rebound but limited strength
- Hourly Chart: Rebound encountering resistance, bears still in advantage

🎯 Key Price Levels (BTC/USD)

- Resistance (Short positions reference)
- First: $67,500–68,000 (Short-term strong resistance)
- Second: $69,000–70,000 (Core suppression zone)
- Strong Resistance: $72,500 (Structural reversal point)
- Support (Long positions / Defensive)
- First: $65,000–65,500 (Short-term strong support)
- Second: $63,000 (Key defense)
- Strong Support: $60,000 (200-week moving average + historical dense zone)

🧠 Today’s Strategy (February 13)

- Short-term (1–3 days): Oversold weak rebound, mainly shorting on high, light long positions as supplement
- Light short at rebound to $67,500–68,000, stop loss at $69,000, target $66,000→$65,000
- Light short-term long at pullback to $65,000–65,500, stop loss at $63,000, target $67,000→$67,500
- Break below $63,000, chase short, target $60,000
- Mid-term (1–2 weeks): Bearish trend unchanged, only a break above $72,500 could reverse the structure
- Risk management: Light positions, with stop-loss; advisable to wait or hold light positions before tonight’s CPI release

⚠️ Risk Reminder

- Fed hawkish expectations, strong dollar, obvious macro pressure
- Oversold rebounds prone to repeated reversals, high risk in chasing highs
- Breaking below $60,000 could open deeper correction space
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