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How to Predict in Advance: When Will the Consolidation End and a New Trend Begin? (Signals Before Major Uptrend or Downtrend)
Hello everyone, I am Song Song Wen Wen.
In the last article, I discussed how to safely trade during consolidation.
Today, I will share:
4 Practical Signals to Identify the End of Consolidation and the Coming of a Trend Reversal
Purely technical and structural, understanding these signals allows you to get in early.
1. Consolidation is Not Scary; What’s Scary is Not Knowing When It Will End
Most people lose money because:
- They treat ongoing consolidation as a trend and chase it
- When a trend appears, they buy high and sell low
- They hesitate to enter after a breakout, only to regret it when the price moves far away
True experts:
Watch consolidation as an audience, get in when the trend reverses, and profit from the trend.
2. First Signal Before Trend Reversal: K-line Volatility Gets Smaller
Indicators:
- K-line bodies become shorter
- Fewer upper and lower shadows
- Volatility narrows, like “shrinking pockets”
Meaning:
The bulls and bears are about to decide the winner
A direction will be chosen soon, and a big move is coming.
Mnemonic:
The smaller the fluctuation, the more explosive the breakout; the longer the sideways, the fiercer the breakout.
3. Second Signal Before Trend Reversal: High and Low Points Begin to “Converge”
Indicators:
- High points keep decreasing
- Low points keep rising
- Overall pattern: triangle, wedge
Meaning:
This is the most standard pattern for trend reversal.
Once broken, it rarely looks back.
Usage:
Don’t guess in advance; wait for the body to break through and confirm with a pullback.
4. Third Signal Before Trend Reversal: Noticeable Changes in Volume/Energy
Indicators:
- No volume during consolidation
- The breakout candle: large body, strong momentum, no hesitation
Meaning:
Funds are genuinely entering the market, not just fake orders.
Fake breakout:
- Long shadows
- Unstable close
- Lacking strength
Real breakout:
- Decisive
- Clean
- No hesitation
5. Fourth Signal Before Trend Reversal: Smaller Timeframes Lead the Trend
While the larger timeframe remains in consolidation,
Check smaller timeframes (15 minutes / 1 hour):
- Higher lows and higher highs (bullish)
- Or: Lower highs and lower lows (bearish)
This is called:
Small timeframe leading the way, larger timeframe following.
Seeing this early allows you to prepare in advance.
6. Complete Practical Process for End of Consolidation and Trend Initiation
1. Mark the consolidation range: resistance at the top, support at the bottom
2. Wait for: convergence, volume drying up, shorter candles
3. Observe: smaller timeframes first show direction
4. Breakout: must be a solid, powerful candle with a real body
5. Pullback: do not break key levels, enter directly after confirmation
6. Position sizing: 1%~2%, only aiming for the “fish body”
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